wolfie09

Going to be a strong band somewhere just north of the mix line, as it currently stands. We'll see in a couple days when SR guidance is available..

So such thing as a consensus a week out, we knew changes were coming lol

Take a look at the last 8 runs of the gfs. Notice anything? Lol Slowed down considerably.. This allows the HP more time to slowly retreat north. .

Possiblity stormy back to back weekends.. Been watching this one from afar but not trying to get to far ahead of myself lol

NWS claims that's 24-36 hours of snow lol So don't expect any headlines or heavy precip rates..

Kbuf first storm

About 2 feet when all said and done, verbatim, between Thursday and Saturday+LES..

These northern solutions aren't the worst thing for me lol I don't care about mixing much, but the primary is staying stronger for longer, no moisture being shunted east.. That is near a foot during the heart of the event, with a little mixing..

Gotta smell the taint my friend lol We mix a little with a dying primary so be it..

I was showing how erratic it is.. Drastic changes from one run to the next.. Last run it was in saskatchewan..lol

Looks like the icon is starting to catch on..

That's a kuchera ratio map lol I Know looks just like a clown map..

Wether it's right or wrong is another story entirely lol But plenty of cold air when precip arrives.. We could get shards of glass with how cold it may be , at first lol

That doesn't include the wrap around portion..

24th-26th is another period to watch.. Been showing up on the gfs last few runs.. Models usually do well pin-pointing times of interest..

To bad it wasn't just a little more south lol Both Gfs/Nam have similar looks wrt to some wrap around moisture, enhancement and lake effect..

Hot off the presses, day 3.. Slight chance is better than no chance..

Nam cuts through CNY on Thursday, rain/mix flipping to snow..

Binghamton In terms of sensible weather, all of this means that a potentially significant storm is becoming more likely to impact the area Friday night through Saturday, with most of the precipitation potentially as snow. While it is way too early to speculate on amounts due to the above mentioned uncertainties, this is definitely a storm worth watching and we will continue to add more specifics to the forecast as we get closer. As this storm system departs on Sunday, lake effect/lake enhanced snow showers become likely in Central New York with a cold northwest flow. 3 PM Update...Forecast remains on-track with still a high possibility for an impactful snow storm this weekend with good agreement among the major forecast models and ensembles. No changes to the long term forecast at this time.

Lets be real kbuf ain't updating haha.. They are pretty lazy when it comes to med-long range... When I lived in Kalb cwa they updated LR like every cycle.. Hopefully I'm wrong..

Sounds like Cora is next for cheating in 2018 lol

Mlb just came down pretty hard on the Astros, nice!! Lol Coach and gm suspended all year with no pay..Lose 1st and 2nd round draft pics the next 2 seasons..5 million dollar penalty which is the max..

Stronger WAA=heavier thump but also warmer temperatures..

These are the temps when precipitation is arriving..