wolfie09

Storm totals for Oswego county. I would of thought N.Redfield would of did a little better but I guess that's the kind of year it's been.. ...OSWEGO COUNTY... 3 SSW REDFIELD 12.0 850 AM 1/19 PUBLIC 2 N RICHLAND 10.8 1130 AM 1/19 TRAINED SPOTTER REDFIELD 8N 10.0 700 AM 1/19 CO-OP OBSERVER W FULTON 9.8 800 AM 1/20 COCORAHS MEXICO 2SW 9.5 700 AM 1/20 CO-OP OBSERVER 1 NE PULASKI 8.0 100 PM 1/19 COCORAHS 4 SSE LACONA 6.3 700 AM 1/19 COCORAHS SE MINETTO 6.1 800 AM 1/20 COCORAHS OSWEGO 4.4 700 PM 1/19 STORM TOTAL

They have actually trended significantly colder here.. Yesterday had sat in the low 40s and upper 30s on Sunday..Not the coldest forecast in the world but it would get the job done lol Saturday Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Saturday Night Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday Night A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Monday A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Just scroll down or up lol https://www.americanwx.com/forum/topic/7094-december-92-redux-of-death-125-to-128-all-areas-thread/page/8/?tab=comments#comment-1093822

Was board, did an average splits for the first 20days.. Which was 35/19, should be more like 28/8..

Doesn't matter anyway, euro is playing catch up . Canadian had this scenario Friday am..

Can't forget about wny.. This isn't total.

We go over to some light wrap around..The heaviest precipitation is in the form of ice, for Oswego county.

Wouldn't expect anything less

Not much difference

Haha look at the green right over my house lol Something to keep in mind is the extremely marginal surface temps, going to need heavy precip to overcome that..

Yeah perfect track for CNY.. Still plenty of time to go lol

Also have the potential to see some snow with the ULL..

Icon(ic) good track bad result.. Surface is 33-34, not sure what other warm layers we have in there..

And here is where the European transferred, just meanders of the coast...

We also run the risk of the primary hanging on to long like the ukmet has..But that's a gamble we may have to take in order to see snow..

I think it will.. Euro is Killing the primary so far south.. We need that primary towards the lakes and redevelopment near NJ.. Even the good ole Navy shows it.. I find that the Navy has improved this year..

Yeah it's not happening for me lol I checked Bennett's bridge (east Altmar) Feb stats over the last decade and half had at least 55" of snow.. Which is what I need to somewhat salvage this year...The most over a 2 month stretch (Feb,March) was about 115"..

The question is just like the steroids era, do we put an * next to it? Lol

Syracuse has never had more snow than Fulton in the 27 years of measuring.. Could this be the year? Rochester may beat them both.. Heck Kroc could beat me as I only have 62"..lol It's been a rough year for Oswego county..

I have noticed over the last 2 or 3 LR AFD that the NWS has not mentioned the Canadian lol Only the gfs and European..

After a period of quiet weather, precipitation chances will increase Friday and on into the weekend, as a system passes just south of the area and a northern stream trough shifts into the region. With only a limited amount of cold air tapped from Canada, precipitation will fall as a mix of rain/snow during this period as temperatures oscillate through the 30s during the diurnal cycle. Based on model consensus in the track of this system, modest precipitation amounts look plausible with this system, especially in the Friday night to Saturday time frame as the upper low passes to the south and some degree of deformation sets up in the vicinity. The ECMWF remains alone in a track farther to the south which would mean a bit more colder air would sneak in allowing for a better chance of precipitation falling as all wet snow at times. However, this could all change given the temperature and track uncertainty.

Temp is still dropping.. I've noticed that majority of my minimums come between 730am-830am, not overnight like you would think..

Yeah, It was all about if we clear out or not lol We finally did after midnight, temp down to -3.8..

Icon is similar to the gfs, just warmer..

Some nice improvements on the gfs..