wolfie09

Qpf

Practically BM for parts of CNY..

Every storm looks the same lol Good amount of double barrel lows showing up from run to run.. We have had a ton of transfers this year just most to far north to help us..

Gonna need about an inch liquid to get warning criteria (7"-8"), more likely scenario is a moderate 3"-6" wet snow event, as it currently stands .

Eps Control and mean Source

AFTER MONTHS OF PREPARATION, ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA, IN COLLABORATION WITH SHARED SERVICES CANADA, WILL BE SWITCHING TO A NEW HIGH-PERFORMANCE COMPUTING INFRASTRUCTURE ON TUESDAY, JANUARY 21, 2020, BEGINNING WITH THE 12 UTC MODEL RUNS. AS PART OF A PLANNED 30-MONTH UPGRADE CYCLE, THE EXISTING IBM-CRAY SOLUTION, CONSISTING OF DUAL CRAY XC-40 SUPERCOMPUTERS AND CS-400 PRE- AND POST-PROCESSING CLUSTERS, WILL BE REPLACED BY TWO PAIRS OF XC-50 SUPERCOMPUTERS AND CS-500 CLUSTERS PROVIDING A 2.5X INCREASE IN PERFORMANCE OVER THE PREVIOUS SOLUTION. ADDITIONALLY, THE TAPE ARCHIVAL SYSTEM, ALONG WITH HIGH-PERFORMANCE NETWORK AND STORAGE COMPONENTS, WILL ALL BE REPLACED WITH EXPANDED CAPACITY AND PERFORMANCE COMMENSURATE WITH THE UPGRADED COMPUTE SOLUTION. THIS UPGRADE REAFFIRMS OUR STRONG FOUNDATION OF HIGH-PERFORMANCE COMPUTING, IN ANTICIPATION OF THE NEXT SERIES OF TECHNOLOGY TRANSFERS FROM RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT TOWARDS OPERATIONS. SUCH UPGRADES ARE THUS ESSENTIAL IN ORDER TO PROVIDE CONTINUALLY IMPROVED WEATHER AND ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION SERVICES TO CANADIANS, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER USERS AND PARTNERS. ALTHOUGH WE DO NOT EXPECT ANY MAJOR ISSUES, USERS NOTICING ANY MISSING PRODUCTS FOLLOWING THE SWITCHOVER SHOULD NOT HESITATE TO CONTACT US TO ENSURE THE PROPER DISSEMINATION OF PRODUCTS AND UNINTERRUPTED DELIVERY OF SERVICES.

Ryan maue The Canadian weather modeling agency is flipping switch on a new Supercomputer with 2.5x increase in performance. Huge. Over past 3 month, the Canadian model has moved ahead of the U.S. NOAA global weather model in skill metrics.

Temps still dropping.. Nearing a 30° drop the last 8 hrs with no mechanism besides a light northerly breeze lol

It's Only one model and one run lol Each model has it's own depiction.. Ratios are going to be a killer once again. Here was the Canadian..

Dropped 27° since midnight, low of -5.6° as of now.. 4th night out of the the last 7 below zero..

Certainly not the prettiest storm I've ever seen lol Improvements on the gfs for at least this one run.. Surface LOW is a bit to east for our liking.. Kuchera 10-1

Quiet weather will continue for most of Friday as an area of high pressure over the Northeast and Eastern Canada slowly moves east. An approaching area of low pressure from the Tennessee Valley will start to increase POPs for Friday evening, with chance POPs across WNY. The area of low pressure will continue to track northeast toward the area and center over the western end of Lake Erie by Saturday morning. The low will slowly track east before a secondary and stronger area of low pressure develops Saturday evening off the coast of NY/NJ. The coastal low will continue to strengthen as it tracks northeast to the Gulf of Maine by Sunday night. Likely POPs will be in place from Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon. A heavy water laden snow looks likely now, but temperatures will need to be monitored as any bump up in the temperatures will mean more rain likely. Some rain will mix in for Saturday afternoon across the lower elevations, but pure rain areas as of right now looks to be limited as model guidance continues to come in a bit cooler. Wrap around moisture will keep precipitation going through Sunday night before tapering off on Monday to showery coverage.

Euro was a bit wierd and disorganized at times but still got the job done verbatim..

Late transfer..

Gfs coming in North..

A little bit of unexpected snow?

Haha yeah I have no idea but he/she couldn't be going that fast, they were coming from next door lol I passed that spot every day for 3 years back and forth to work, I've never actually tried to that place though lol

My old neck of the woods, I lived right down the street, next to huhtmaki, slice and go deli is gone..

I noticed early today Pulaski was in the mid 20s while it was mid teens here, warmth must of finally made it lol

Wtf lol Forecast low is 2° but I'm going the other way lol Winds are out of the WNW..

Absolute monster..

As usual gfs downslopes Oswego county so it can go fook itself but anyway here is the warmest frame as precipitation is moving in..Temps drop from here on out..