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wolfie09

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Everything posted by wolfie09

  1. Euro was east of 0z but still sucked lol The system goes due north right over us.. The 2nd wave was east and a little snowier..
  2. Ukmet was traveling NE to that point..It was pretty warm though and weird with precip..
  3. Gfs looked pretty good fwiw, with very little rain/mix..Most of this comes on Friday though which is an eternity away..
  4. The 2nd wave was a cutter at 6z now it misses us to the South, not the worst solution in the world for us in W/C NY lol
  5. It's basically a cold front.. Friday one can still be decent, we'll see soon enough..
  6. I have a gravel driveway that's full of rocks and pebbles lol I had my snowblower purposely adjusted to leave a thin layer of snow on top lol And that thin layer of snow has yet to melt..
  7. I have noticed a big time glitch in this area on the snow depth maps and models, I always assumed it was downsloping but nope it's a glitch lol Not sure why though.. I can't see my driveway yet let alone grass lol
  8. Gefs mean a good deal NW of the OP but plenty of spread..
  9. Eps was farther SE then the op, little on the warm side verbatim..
  10. The closed Low on Friday looks like a blend of the gfs/euro
  11. We have nothing to stop these systems from cutting except well timed HP but we have nothing to hold those in place lol A 50/50 low can become a temporary-NAO but for the most part the coast is toast lol And were next.. With the -epo we should have a little more cold to work with though..
  12. Gefs FWIW Keep in mind they've had a huge cold bias this year as alluded to by BW.
  13. It's funny every time a model run cuts we see lake effect on a Westerly flow, when the system goes east of us we see very little in the way of a lake response lol Kind of ironic.. Another example yesterdays 12z Canadian
  14. Screwed either way with the Friday system according to guidance... NWS is going with the European and a track just west of us while the GFS fringes us with a track to far east lol
  15. The only positive about a cutter here is potential LES... Would be a nice fallback lol The rain will quickly transition to snow showers...with lake effect snow then becoming possible on Friday as H85 temps of -10c or lower will prompt a lake response within a westerly flow.
  16. European was terrible.. Nothing from the first wave then back to back cutters lol
  17. So the Canadian looked pretty good, quite a bit east of 12z.. Not much going on with the first wave but the next 2 are all snow..
  18. Nice run for the tug/dacks over the next 10 days, we all do well one way or another..
  19. Mean is pretty far west but members are all over the place, timing also an issue as expected..
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