wolfie09

Well that's the way to get the heaviest snow Canadian has the most snow because we walk that fine line lol Gotta smell the taint to get the best rates..

Some frigid air behind the front..

Gfs farther south, weak sauce in regards to Precipitation but better than rain lol Icon is similar

Eventually the front will pushed this east/SE, the question is when lol

Obviously subject to change.. 00Z model guidance has come into much better agreement than previous model runs. Considering the complexity of the forecast there still is a chance that model guidance will change again, however forecast will lean toward 00z model consensus as the most likely scenario at this point. Low pressure near Kentucky Wednesday evening is forecast to track across southern New England through Thursday. Meanwhile, a northern branch shortwave and associated arctic frontal boundary will dig into the western Great Lakes region. 00Z guidance is slow to phase the two waves, and generally tracks a fairly weak surface low to our south. Despite the weak surface wave, there is plenty of moisture and good upper level support for precipitation. The 00Z GFS/ECMWF/GGEM show between a quarter and an inch of QPF Wednesday night and Thursday so have raised PoPs into the likely category. Precipitation type will depend on the exact track of the low and evolution of the system, but in general expect mostly snow from Buffalo and Rochester northward, and mostly rain across the Western Southern Tier. There`s still too much uncertainty to pin down snow amounts, but there is at least a potential for significant snow accumulations in the advisory range or more. Will add a mention to the HWO reflecting this possibility, but there are still lots of ways this system can evolve which would produce little if any snow. After this, forecast confidence increases, with model guidance suggesting the northern branch shortwave will be strong enough to push the arctic boundary through the region sometime in the vicinity of late Thursday. This is likely to bring much colder weather...possibly the coldest of the season. The core of the cold air should cross on Friday, with the GGEM/ECMWF both clipping the North Country with 850mb temperatures down to -30c. While this may not pan out, there is no doubt that Friday will be a cold day with highs forecast to be mainly in the teens with single digits across the North Country. Lows Friday night should easily drop into the single digits with lows well below zero across the North Country. Forecast is about 5 degrees colder than NBM, and if the colder model guidance verifies this may have to be lowered even more.

Wouldn't be surprised to see an advisory issued for Oswego county, mainly over the tug.. Must be nice to upslope lol NAM one of the more favorable models here with about 3"-4", NWS going with 1"-2"..

To get snow we are going to have depend on good timing from blocking highs, in order to make them transfer lol At this stage of the game I'm just trying to pad the stats lol Euro fantasy range..

Eps looks warm https://www.americanwx.com/forum/topic/7126-you-know-its-a-lousy-winter-when/page/4/?tab=comments#comment-1100262

Gonna have to do it with some crappy teleconnections lol

Wpc looks like they are siding with the European..

9° with light snow.. Had a "cheap" low yesterday as I made it to -8F before midnight and -9.2° after midnight.. Last nights Euro tracked the system right over us, 2"-3" of snow followed by some drizzle verbatim, not much in the way of Precipitation..

Saved by a transfer on the gfs lol But looks like a trend towards the European.. Icon has a nice look..

Down to -8, should start heading the other way soon.. Had to verify with the car thermometer lol

18z gfs jumped north again, I think we know where this ones going lol Gfs has a lot of inland systems which we are going to have to deal with it.. Going to be a cold evening, down to 5.7°..

I actually was hoping to check out the xfl I have one spot in my house that gets 4g lol Spectrum customers throughout the northeast are experiencing service issues. Early Saturday afternoon Spectrum released this statement on Twitter: "We are aware of service issues in Upstate New York, Maine and New Hampshire at this time. We are investigating and working to resolve the problem. We apologize for any inconvenience this is causing."

Just missing right now.. Also depends on the strength/placement of HP to the north..

You don't want to be in the bullseye 5 days out. Lol

A Couple decent totals in the central/northern part of the county.. Richland just to my North probably finished with around a foot..I had 10" imby.. Oswego County... Redfield 13.0 747 PM 2/07 Trained Spotter Hastings 12.5 1100 PM 2/07 Trained Spotter 2 N Richland 8.5 345 PM 2/07 Trained Spotter

These are 24 hr snow fall totals..So add an inch or two which fell before 7am.. ******************24 HOUR SNOWFALL********************** LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...Allegany County... 2 ENE Wellsville 3.1 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 4 SW West Almond 2.3 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS Whitesville 1N 1.5 700 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer ...Cattaraugus County... 1 ENE Randolph 6.0 730 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 1 NNE Franklinville 6.0 654 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS Olean 2.6 730 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer ...Chautauqua County... 5 NNW Jamestown 7.0 600 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 1 N Gerry 5.8 750 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 1 WNW Fredonia 3.5 500 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 1 SSE Silver Creek 3.5 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS Dunkirk 1S 3.0 700 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer Silver Creek 2.4 730 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer ...Erie County... 2 SE Glenwood 5.5 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 2 NE Boston 5.5 730 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 3 NE Boston 5.1 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 3 WSW Elma 4.7 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ENE East Aurora 3.6 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ESE Clarence Center 3.2 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ESE Kenmore 2.9 735 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 3 NNE East Aurora 2.8 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS WSW Hamburg 2.6 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS Lake View 1NE 2.4 800 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer 1 NW Kenmore 2.4 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 3 NE Cheektowaga 2.3 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS Buffalo Airport 2.3 654 AM 2/08 ASOS 2 SSW Blasdell 2.3 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 1 N Clarence Center 1.8 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Cheektowaga 1.5 800 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ...Genesee County... Le Roy 1E 7.0 800 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer 2 NE Stafford 3.9 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ...Lewis County... 1 NW Constableville 12.0 400 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS Osceola 1E 12.0 700 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer Lowville 12.0 700 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer Chases Lake 9.5 600 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer Highmarket 7.0 627 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer ...Livingston County... 1 ENE Dansville 3.4 745 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ...Monroe County... 4 SSE Pittsford 5.7 800 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS Rochester Airport 4.1 700 AM 2/08 ASOS ...Niagara County... Sanborn 4NE 4.5 700 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer North Tonawanda 3.0 700 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer 6 E Niagara Falls 2.8 649 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 3 WNW Lockport 2.8 820 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 3 ESE Lockport 2.7 700 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ...Ontario County... 5 S Canandaigua 2.8 840 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS Geneva 2.0 800 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer Honeoye 1.2 815 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer ...Orleans County... Medina 3.0 600 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer WNW Medina 1.6 800 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ...Oswego County... Mexico 2SW 8.7 700 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer W Fulton 8.0 530 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS SE Minetto 6.8 730 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ...Wayne County... 2 NW Palmyra 6.3 800 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS 3 ESE Macedon 5.0 615 AM 2/08 CoCoRaHS ...Wyoming County... 3 W Wyoming 6.0 700 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer Silver Springs 3N 3.9 700 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer Portageville 1W 3.7 730 AM 2/08 Co-Op Observer

Made it down to 2.1° earlier this morning before clouds and light snow moved in, ruined my chance at a sub zero low lol

Yeah agreed . Ukmet takes that route as well..

Looks like the European is a cutter for next week, CMC and gfs are suppressed..

Snow still hanging on, actually coming down quite nicely.. Shouldn't last much longer, I don't think..

Pure fluff falling right now, coming down at a steady clip, 18°.