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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. Any chance we get colder than the 40s that are predicted? The projected temps would give a cold rain. But yes might as well watch it. It would be gone quickly also, but any event this winter is a big thing.
  2. February having 28 days in non leap years always bothered me. Yes there are 31 days in Dec and Jan - but Dec is not our peak snow season.
  3. I do. Though I tend to be optimistic.
  4. Hi Don - how long do you see the February warmup lasting and do you think there will be one more chance before spring? (like in late Feb or March)
  5. Same with me. I know we need rain, but I wish we did not. Hate thunderstorms even more.
  6. So that’s what snow looks like! Moderate snow that looks pretty. Just a dusting so far.
  7. In most winters, there is something even if minor. So chances are something will surprise.
  8. At least it is the GFS and shows a suppressed system. Things have been correcting more north - too north and west in fact.
  9. Yeah at least there is the high which makes something measurable doable IMO - but wouldn’t be surprised if shut out again.
  10. End of month/early Feb looks like a possibility. Of course there is always a chance that goes away like the other periods.
  11. Yep, lightning and a loud clap of thunder here. So depressing for January.
  12. Considering all I have gotten is a brief snow squall on Christmas Eve, this would feel like a major storm.
  13. Well, if it does turn out that way, and we will see - I hope March is cold enough so the snow doesn’t just melt right away.
  14. Looks like something to track finally. While I do not expect this to turn into a good winter, as December showed, we could still have periods where we can cash in if things go right.
  15. Thanks for keeping on top of it. I enjoy your write ups a lot. Yes, what is coming up likely isn’t sustainable for a whole month, but we will have to see how cold it gets and if it snows. We don’t need it to be teens for highs like on Christmas Eve.
  16. Hi Don - I hope we do get cold by mid Jan because we’d really be wasting peak winter time.
  17. Fortunately winds were pretty light here and got to see a snow squall before Christmas. Currently 7 here.
  18. Can someone explain exactly what went wrong when we had such blocking? Bad SE ridge orientation?
  19. Interesting. Yes, the GFS showed rain, but its evolution was still different than the other models.
  20. It’s still well early enough for corrections. I did like seeing the GFS east. I hope they don’t all go to a cutter and stay there - we have seen that happen a lot.
  21. I’m definitely excited - the last White Christmas in Philly was in 2009 - but correct that we still need a lot of features in place to get a MECS/BECS.
  22. My thoughts are with them. December tornadoes again. My region was hit bad last year (2021) but fortunately I avoided everything but some flooding nearby.
  23. Hopeful for sure. People were talking about late December being more favorable.
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