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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. Hi Walt! Hope you had a good Christmas. Agreed that doesn’t look good for those two events. What do you think of the 1/4 timeframe? GFS has been hinting at a storm coming up the coast.
  2. I was disappointed. I don’t think I even got as much as the Philly airport. But on the bright side, it was already better than anything I got last winter.
  3. All this heavy precip being wasted on sleet here - really a shame.
  4. Hearing some sleet now. Didn’t want it this early.
  5. The snow has been pretty fine here and not big flakes, but rates definitely picked up. Haven’t measured but looks like around 2.5 inches.
  6. Getting a heavier band now, but I am going to need the precip to last longer as snow. Temp still okay around 27 degrees.
  7. Up to an inch here. Haven’t seen much of the heavy rates yet.
  8. Temp has leveled out here at about the same. There’s a coating so far.
  9. Sounds good, and I like 6-10” for my area. Could be more. Snow is coming in early.
  10. After the new GFS run, the NAM looks on its own. But still a little concerning just HOW little the NAM had.
  11. Haven’t seen the snow maps. Does it cut back for the northern suburbs?
  12. 00z NAM actually cut down a little from 18z in Montco. Dryslot issues maybe?
  13. Have one here for 12+ inches. A little concerned that the mix might even come up here, but still a day of tracking.
  14. But you don’t know they will continue to go north. Perhaps the blocking even makes it go a bit south tomorrow.
  15. I don’t agree that it will be THAT NW. I still think NYC gets into decent snowfall. It will take a while to pin down where the rain/mix line sets up.
  16. It’s about the only model that dryslots Montgomery and Bucks counties, isn’t it?
  17. According to the map in the NYC forum, the CMC still gives the city 9” and me 12+”.
  18. It sure does jackpot our area. Could be the best run yet.
  19. There seems to be a dry slot limiting totals close to the city, though. Hopefully that is just the NAM beyond its range.
  20. Does the UKMet have a lot of sleet for the city? Do you think that kind of cutoff is extreme?
  21. We actually don’t do great here despite being in NW burbs, but if the models are right, we shouldn’t miss good totals.
  22. I agree. 6” in the city is very likely. I personally wonder about the N solutions because of the confluence. But we’ll see. I better at least prepare for 10-12”+ here in Royersford.
  23. This place and other online forums are the only places I know of where I can let out my delight with snow and be understood.
  24. Right now the GFS and Ukie are the opposite extremes. I’d rather the GFS if models gravitate to one or the other.
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