Gravity Wave
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Everything posted by Gravity Wave
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Sun breaking through here. -
I highly doubt Newark is actually hotter than Philly, there's been some speculation that EWR is running too hot.
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NYC is lucky Elsa ended up sliding a bit east like the CAMs suggested; otherwise it would still be pouring here. We got more than enough as it was.
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1889 was a very wet year for many in the region.
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Same in Manhattan. Pretty clear that the line was fluctuating considerably in intensity and passed through the central parts of NYC on a low ebb, hence the advance winds being more impressive than the main show.
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Can we get a replay of this image in 6 months please? But seriously, that looks like fun.
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I'm a little confused as to how we could be close to a major outage when most office buildings are still significantly underpopulated; you'd think that AC use in these buildings would be limited. When I worked in the Rockefeller Center during the July 2019 heat wave they shut down the AC and suggested that everyone leave.
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My parents have friends who live near Portland; they headed out to their cabin by the coast in the SW part of the state, it's in the mid-60s there right now. Meanwhile it's 98 degrees in Astoria right now, which is absolutely incredible to anyone who's familiar with that area. Edit: And this might be the most insane reading so far:
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Most of the southwest is utterly unfit for human habitation, let alone the massive sprawl that has sprung up around Phoenix, LV and LA in recent decades. These water crises are only going to get worse.
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Looks more like 8:00 than 4:00 in Manhattan right now.
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Very unpleasant day, fortunately there was a decent breeze when I stepped outside earlier. Some impressive outflow boundaries for the storms in PA.
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Second straight summer of not having to descend into the subway inferno wearing business clothes, the one aspect of covid I'm going to miss.
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Impressive photo looking towards the City from the Belt Parkway:
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Some pea-sized hail on the east side of Manhattan.
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All the best severe events growing up in PA happened on slight risk days, Mod risks almost invariably disappointed. The only exception was the high risk on May 31, 1998.
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Memorial Day usually manages to have good weather, even in years with bad springs (like most recent years).
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I'm fine with the cool weather but the lack of any thunderstorm activity is annoying given that May into early June is generally our best shot at severe weather around here. I'd gladly take a transient hot day if it came with an interesting severe outbreak.
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Lapse rates are usually the missing ingredient for big severe outbreaks in this region, I remember the October 2018 PA tornado outbreak where they played a key role. If it hadn't been for the low instability (it was October after all) it would have been a memorable event. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornadoes_of_2018#October_2
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No sleet on the UES, just a few pings of graupel 15 minutes ago.
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Is the 700 mb low forming as quickly as it was expected to? The mesoanalysis site doesn't seem to show an organized low at that level yet.
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Getting heavier, that band over Queens should be here soon.
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HRRR has been flipping and flopping and its thermals are trash. I've honestly never been impressed with it, it'll sniff out a nut every once in a while but its performance is generally underwhelming.
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Moderate snow on UES Manhattan, hoping those bands to the south drift north soon.
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Yes, although I might push the start of that range up to 8:00 given the HRRR depiction. You'll at least want to be checking the radar by then so you can see when the heavy banding will be arriving.
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