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Gravity Wave

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Everything posted by Gravity Wave

  1. Gravity Wave
    Wait, you can bet on NYC snowfall? A few seasons years of putting the house on the under and I'll be able to retire.
  2. Gravity Wave
    That March--April 2018 period wasn't particularly amazing in the City proper. 3 of those storms were white rain, at least in Manhattan.
  3. Gravity Wave
    Ice storms seems to have joined Alberta Clippers as weather events that no longer seem to play a major role in our winters. I remember getting 5 inches of sleet topped with a glaze of ZR in December 2008 growing up in Allentown, less than 2 years after the epic Valentines Day ice storm in February 2007 that stranded hundreds of drivers on I-78.
  4. Gravity Wave
    The AIFS has basically been locked in since 5 days out, with just some slight NW adjustments as the storm approached. Once it starts showing a solution consistently in the mid range it seems pretty deadly.
  5. Gravity Wave
    If you don't like crowds then you can come visit in the first two weeks of January. The tree and a lot of the Christmas stuff is still up and there are far fewer people. Plus the weather is usually more wintry.
  6. Gravity Wave
    One of the all-time commuting nightmares given that the City was expected to quickly change to rain and almost no one stayed home. Sadly turned out to be the peak of that winter...
  7. Gravity Wave
    I've been smelling it for over an hour here.
  8. Gravity Wave
    Heavy rain and lightning in Manhattan.
  9. Gravity Wave
    The region was in the midst of a drought when Connie and Diane hit; if it happened again today it's unlikely we would have such luck.
  10. Gravity Wave
    If anything things are getting started faster than expected compared to the HRRR.
  11. Gravity Wave
    I assume that these departures are specific to the summer given how the sun roasts everything? It would be interesting to see the winter version.
  12. Gravity Wave
    Sun has come out ahead of the storms in Manhattan.
  13. Gravity Wave
    If it's going to be hot then let it be dry as well. I'm not trying to spend $350 cooling my apartment this month.
  14. Gravity Wave
    Feels like people have been honking about the threat for a significant east coast (north of FL) hurricane strike for several years now but it hasn't happened, and I don't think the issue has been the failure of the expected Atlantic patterns to materialize. Have we just been lucky?
  15. Gravity Wave
    It's funny to see people complain about a lack of heat in May when we're basically guaranteed 10 weeks of disgusting tropical weather every summer. Meanwhile those of us who enjoy the cold have to pray for a 3-day arctic blast or two to break up the 4 months of eternal November every winter.
  16. Gravity Wave
    Wasn't here for that storm but I've heard a lot of people who were saying that they couldn't believe that CPK amount because they got so much less. I don't actually have any memory of it despite Allentown apparently getting 10-12", but I agree it's nowhere near the level of the all-timers despite its gaudy position on the snowfall list.
  17. Gravity Wave
    Lack of consistent heavy rates plus the bad boundary layer (and warm pre-storm conditions) killed the storm in Manhattan. Very reminiscent of 3/7/18 where it snowed all day but the deform band ended up over NNJ instead of the City where it was modeled to be and the torched boundary layer never never got the full dynamic cooling effect so we had 33-34 degree white rain. Wound up with a coating of slush in Midtown and little more in Chelsea.
  18. Gravity Wave
    Coating on cold surfaces here, starting to stick to the Avenues.
  19. Gravity Wave
    That embedded squall line feature looks nasty.
  20. Gravity Wave
    We've pretty much been in a down period since March 2018, with the exception of February 2021 (and maybe January 2022 for eastern areas).
  21. Gravity Wave
    Growing up in Allentown the neighbors who had been around for a while would talk about February 1983 before 1996 even though the latter ended up as a slightly bigger storm in terms of accumulations (30" vs 25"). I think it was the intensity that made such an impression, 1996 was 36 hours of steady snow while 83 came in like a wall and dropped 5" in an hour at one point.
  22. Gravity Wave
    November 2019 also had a historic arctic outbreak in mid-month. I forget how much it moderated by Thanksgiving.
  23. Gravity Wave
    The Feb 5 storm probably wouldn't have been had it been able to make it further north.
  24. Gravity Wave
    I think we'll take our chances with strong blocking at the risk of some 2/5/10 or 1/13/19 style misses. You'd have to think one storm would get far enough north to slam us.
  25. Gravity Wave
    Pouring here again. Visibility down to barely half a mile.
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