Cashtown_Coop

Fascinating event! My feeling is I see no rain here. Snow to some sort of mix to dry slot. I could see a longer period of sleet possible.

16/11. Yeah. Rather crazy. It doesn’t feel like a mix storm approaching.

Bub how are rates with that band

We might as well ride Frederick snd Washington warnings with this one. 4-7 with ice on top

Radar is building. Give it another 30

17/9 light snow

I think the radar looks good. 3 start time still looking good 16/7. NE winds around 5

That’s the thing. Another bump in amounts would turn the purples into pinks. Wouldn’t surprise me to see warnings with afternoon update

Here’s LWX discussion on why raising their snow totals. I performed a cursory analysis of current conditions this morning and I found that temps are running a few degrees cooler than forecast with dewpoints in the single digits. Up stream observations in NC and southern VA suggests that snow is over performing. I have adjusted my snow ratios this morning to account for the well below freezing layer ahead of the precipitation which should allow for higher snow rates. Initial onset of precipitation is on track this morning and snow should fluffy to start before switching over to wet snow as the layer starts to warm and transitions over to a wintry mix for most areas along and east of I-81. I will continue to monitor current conditions to see if I need to up snow totals. It wouldn`t surprise me if we get higher snow totals further eastward than expected due to extremely cool air mass ahead of this system.

someone is going to bust.

15/4 @ 12:00 give me 1” qpf and I’ll roll the dice on precip type

Its nice to see the dews staying low and not following the temp up. I’m up to 11 but dew is only 2

Not sure if it was brought up yet but CTP added more counties to warnings including Mag. Warning also stats 50mph gust Really couldn’t ask for a better scenario with clear skies last night and our lowest temps of the season with clouds pushing in now to lock the cold in.

Should be a good eve for many as the snow is falling and Steelers are kicking KC butts

9/1 after a low of 4 looks like hrrr gets me 3-4 hours of sleet

978 low (28.88in) ne pa. Going to be some low pressure

I get the eye this run

Lots of green at 30

Same

Warmest panel on Euro

Euro holding steady 10 to 1 below

It’s a slow mover

@MAG5035 Blair and Adams share the same advisory

Confidence level

Looks like nice thump to dry slot with little ice