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Chicago WX

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Everything posted by Chicago WX

  1. RGEM still well south of the NAMs. Banking on my weenie band tomorrow morning of course.
  2. Ride it. Canadians like that mini band too. Not happening, but would be quite the gift.
  3. Yeah, these are fun. Current one was mixed flakes and graupel and then went to just big ass flakes. Just pounding.
  4. Didn’t last long, but that was rip City for about 15 minutes. My visibility was 2 blocks at best for awhile.
  5. Going to need the RGEM to score the coup. 6z still solid for N IL. Otherwise, everything is wagons north again (6z Nams, 6z HRRR, and 9z RAP, and 6z GFS slightly north). Think everyone had an idea this would go a bit further north in the end, but some of these moves are stupid in the past 24 hours. Still time for more changes I guess...
  6. Places in NE and IA went from warning snows to pretty much nada in one run of the NAM. Awesome model.
  7. Nah. Won't see a snowflake most likely. Just a cold rain.
  8. lol, hope it works out. Easy first, and last call for MBY. 0.0".
  9. And maybe it’s voo doo meteorology, but we’ve had a few medium range modeled hits that went to hell in the short range. Why not try something different and reel one in from the south. Either way, system looks like it could be messy with zones of snow, mix, and rain…wherever it ends up falling.
  10. Eh, I think 1/31-2/1 is still in play. Still a signal on the ensembles that it could come north. Granted, op runs favor south, and that's the play at the moment, but I wouldn't completely dismiss the chance. Plus, it's kind of a date(s) when things happen...
  11. Hoosier's go-to model (6z run) is a slight tick away from congrats MSP and GRB.
  12. Smells like a I-88 to MSN special, or somewhere in that corridor. These always have a late north trend it seems.
  13. You can’t find the website? But of course, ratios are much lower now. Still, point stands…overnight snows were greater than 10:1.
  14. Looking at CoCoRaHS reports so far, the 10:1 or less crowd is taking a beating.
  15. 2.4" with my 6:00 AM CoCoRaHS observation. Snowing nicely right now. Radar still looks good. Maybe a shot at 4", which would be quite a win for us.
  16. Bands doing work. 2.0" on the dot here so far. Pleasantly surprised.
  17. Very possible we get little to nothing while places just to put north and south have snow on the ground. GFS has led the way on that scenario, remarkably. HRRR onboard with that too. Think a final call of T-1” looks golden. And the weekend event looks to miss north. Good times!
  18. Rain? But, seems LAF is right on the line or close to it, on several models for a good hit. Hope it happens. And for our other Indiana people too.
  19. Looks like the 6z Euro bumped a little north. Been watching that STL to LAF to FWA area on the models. Think that corridor may be the jack zone.
  20. Saturday/Sunday event has the look of a north trender. LOT talking rain possibility for here. Regardless, should be some nice banding with this one. I-80 on north looks prime for a decent system. Probably need to fire up a thread soon.
  21. Models in pretty good agreement around here now. QPF range from 0.20-0.30". Looks like we'll be stuck in a subby zone between the northern fgen band and the system bands to the south/southeast. Lowering my call to 1-3", will go with 2.2" final to be exact. Only question is whether I'll have any snow left on the ground by the end of Wednesday, as it looks to torch in the afternoon.
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