Chicago WX

1221 PM SNOW 2 N MENASHA 44.23N 88.44W 03/25/2023 E20.0 INCH WINNEBAGO WI PUBLIC ALMOST 20 INCHES. 1202 PM SNOW E NEENAH 44.18N 88.44W 03/25/2023 M17.5 INCH WINNEBAGO WI TRAINED SPOTTER SNOW AMOUNT SO FAR. LOCATED ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE CITY ABOUT FOUR BLOCKS FROM LAKE WINNEBAGO.

Appleton zone forecast from this morning. To be fair, they were under a WWA at that point for 3-6", but doesn't show up explicitly in the zone text. Regardless, that area has seen 12"+ so far, and it's still S+ there right now. Would love to see a positive bust like that for once. INCLUDING THE CITY OF APPLETON 245 AM CDT SAT MAR 25 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... EARLY THIS MORNING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. TODAY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT. TONIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 20S. WEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

MKE FTW KMKE 251152Z COR 03013G22KT 1/2SM R01L/3000V5500FT SN FG VV004 01/00 A2944 RMK AO2 SLP976 SNINCR 3/5 4/005 P0027 60049 70049 T00060000 10033 20006 55026

Big shift south on the 12z NAM, with respect to N IL snow prospects...farther south snow field. IA, WI, and MI jackpot, as usual. Probably overdone with amounts, but fun to look at I guess.

Just got home and measured 3.5" of concrete. Pretty good for essentially 5 hours of snow. The flake size, winds (though not as crazy as south and east of here), and of course TSSN made it a pretty fun event. Obviously wish it would've lasted much longer, but beggars can't be choosers.

This is great. Won’t get true big dog totals, but this event will help me raise my winter grade from a F to a D- Big gust of wind just rolled through here.

TSSN! Fucking awesome!

Holy shit right now. S++ right now. Giant flakes. This is awesome! Just need a little TSSN

Wow. Nice micro climate we got today.

Rip city with big wet aggies. Roads and sidewalks are starting to cave. Kinda surprised… EDIT: I see IKK is down to 33.

All snow here now. Big wet flakes. Wind gusts getting much more frequent. What a day to work outside.

Getting some cat paws mixing in here. Winds have definitely picked up from the north.

Just pouring rain here and temps are torching. Just can’t see any mode to make it snow here. Unfortunately, I see the HRRR is increasing rainfall totals for here. Going to make a bad flooding situation even worse. Bad times. But thanks to you and OHweather for giving us your thoughts. It’s much appreciated.

6z Euro went east too. Waving the white flag on this one. Good luck to the peeps in Indiana and Michigan. Hope it over performs.

Yeah, no idea. 0z models looked really good, but everything at 6z went east. HRRR and RAP are bleeding east with every run. Kinda stupid this close in. Has shades of Feb 2016, but shittier thermals. Think my final call is 0-6". We'll hope for the best of course.

LOT just pulled the trigger on a Warning for here. 4-8” with locally higher, and gusts in excess of 45 mph. The 2-3” per hour and thunder snow parts would be pretty sexy. 838 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CST FRIDAY...* WHAT, Heavy wet snow accumulations, intense snow rates, strongnortheast winds, low visibility, and dangerous travel conditionsexpected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches expectedwith locally higher amounts. In addition, northeast winds willgust in excess of 45 mph.* WHERE, Portions of east central and northeast Illinois andnorthwest Indiana.* WHEN, From noon to 10 PM CST Friday.* IMPACTS, Travel will become difficult and dangerous, includingduring the Friday afternoon and evening commute. Thecombination of heavy, wet snow accumulations on trees and strongnortheasterly winds may lead to downed tree limbs and localizedpower outages.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS, Snow rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour andthundersnow may occur within a narrow but intense band of snow.This will cripple travel conditions including during theafternoon and evening commute.

Jan 1979?

3km is ridiculous. Looping the 1-hour 10:1 snow maps, it has 3.9” here for one frame. I mean I’d love to see it, but not planning to move to a LES belt yet.

Take it to the bank

Yeah. March 1998. Lightning and thunder and all of it with that storm. You can read the AFD and forecast on the Iowa State site from that storm. Positive bust indeed.

Good luck. We’re all counting on you. Still no idea what to expect here. Truly.

Feb 14-16, 2021 had the storm start off snowing with temps below zero. Marginal my ass. But recency bias always prevails around here.

Preview of update after tonight's 0z NAM above.

This is a clown show. I guess MBY being on the line of various model solutions, I've noticed the shifts more, but come on...