jlauderdal

100%, 28 degress with 40s to your south and 20 degress 100 miles to your north with the gulf wide open and very deep low ssw, thats hard to get which is why you guys are so disapointed year after year. Im in the western burbs this weekend from sofla and all I get is 35 and rain, thanks. I expect more after dodging hurricanes last season.

Land including mountan terrain, the shredder

Happy hour gfs coming in at sarasota so that is a healthy shift se, ensembles havent been very consistent either.

S2K has far more posters that have actually experienced multiple hurricanes than anyone here so as far as actual real life experience, its not a wasteland by any means. That said, there is a large volume of people that come and go and would be better served by sitting on the sidelines for a year at S2k... e.g the difference between ens and op doesnt seem to be sinking in with this system in particular. The only consistency at this point is the EPS and that is tending towards a recurve od the se coast, will see, nhc isnt so sure at thispoint.

The nhc discounted it and went mandarin.

We can easily handle a foot of rain over 5 days, problem is training on the SW coast and you get to 15 inches in less than a day. We had an event in Fort Lauderdale a year ago, 20+ in 12 hours but very isolated, this setup is very different. Lots of noise in the models, gulf really isnt favorable for at least a week, maybe something finds a small window but its all about the rain for this one and the texas system down the road,maybe.

19/9/5

I live in Sofla, was up there last weekend(a week too early but i did get the pre-xmas ground blizzard last year, missed the fort laud tornado last weekend) and its was raw the whole time but the snow looked good albeit very modest totals. Congrats on this sytem and avoid dry slots the rest of the season.

Go outside

GFS vs Euro with very different solutions, we see it consistently in the tropics, especially with deep systems. Congrats on the wintry pattern, I was there for 3 days, left yeaterday, snow on the trees was scenic.

Thoughts and prayers from a floridian, the recovery efforts wiil take time from the light rain and breezy conditions.

Its like the hurricane cone of confusion on accu weather, all interests from Brownsville to Nova Scotia are in play.

That storm delivered even with traveler advisory totals in chicago. Back to blustry south florida,wont even hit 60 this weekend. Good luck the rest of the winter with big totals.

Barely travelers advisory criteria.

close the road if its that dangerous

Flurries in Naperville, no wind

Too bad the gulf never fully opened for business.

1-4, snow and blowing snow

Good shot of verifying with those ranges.

We dont need much to it get back to ne illinois. Baby steps and a slight trajectory change upstream and you have something. Model bleed has slowed for now.

Post of the day, you beat me to it..to understand what is happening, you must look beyond your CWA

When its all said and done, todays sofla event might be bigger than the midwest event. There is a low moving across the gulf, giving us rain and choking the moisture feed for the midwest system. NWS Miami @NWSMiami @NWSWPC has placed all of South Florida in a Marginal Risk (1 of 4) of excessive rainfall. This means that isolated flash flooding is possible, especially in vulnerable urban locations.

not really palm tree weather in florida this weekend but better than windchills

They working with mostly the same data we are, it is what it is and they have to take stand at some point and they did.

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