Amped
-
Posts
14,168 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Amped
-
RAW T number up to 7.6 now, this is the highest in the basin since ETA.
-
Not with a single recon flight. I think Wilma deepened a lot between flights. Eta did also, the recon had to abort due to turbulence. I hope they're staying safe in this one. I'd be nervous.
-
A 32mb pressure drop since the start of the recon fight. I think this rivals the one flight into Opal if I remeber correctly.
-
The organization is still improving on IR.
-
I'm falling asleep now so of course it's RI time.
-
Lets see if we finally get the recon pass with the 5mb pressure drop from the last one. So far it's only been 1-2mb between passes.
-
-
The GFS is just really darn slow this run. Edit: GFS is still a northern outlier, unless you include the NAVGEM.
-
My leaning too, plus the hype train for worst case scenario has already started. Nobody mentioning the best case scenario, the track shifts south and and the storm gets gutted by shear before landfall.
-
The ICON almost hits the Yucatan. Well south of it's 12z run through 36hrs.
-
This would be a historic collapse if it verified. Katrina, Opal and Lilly fell apart on final approach, but the pressure came up like 25mb on all of those storms. 60mb could be the difference between a Cat5 and a TS.
-
The CMC has been so bad with storm tracks the last few years, I've stopped looking at it entirely.
-
Hurricane models are showing a lot of weakening in the final 15 hrs before landfall. The core gets blasted with dry air on most of them.
-
167.5kt seems legit . 200mph=174kt
-
Normally I'd say the HAFS-B is crazy but all the Hurricane models are going sub 925mb with this. Thankfully weakening some before landfall.
-
Always wonder how the Gulf of Mexico being shaped like a comma seems to help storms in this location organize. Also not the second wind max off the Florida west coast will look similar to the blob east of Hurricane Mathew.
-
Not sure why the GFS OP went north while the GEFS seems to have trended south.
-
Milton was not supposed to form this quick.
-
The damage reports are reminding me a lot of Hurricane Maria. The steep terrain in a lot of these areas enhanced the wind and flooding damage, and is also obstructing relief efforts.
-
WPAC, Indian Ocean, and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones
Amped replied to 1900hurricane's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Pretty bad situation if it landfalls on the west side of the island where most of the population is. -
Gfs still has a wierd little storm lost and drifting about in the central gulf next week.
-
Maybe a false alarm.
-
-
That spot is getting trained in the eyewall, we might have another victim.
-
The eye went back to a circular shape.
