You can see a dryslot over the Delmarva and offshore. Probably why we have enhanced lift over us and heavier rates than any model showed. It's the opposite of March 2013.
Euro has a pretty strong low coming out of the central plains into the Ohio Valley late next week. It would likely result in a multiday severe outbreak. GFS looks totally different.
2018 Tornado stats from 4 states I handpicked. Tells most of the 2018 story.
WY: 14
OK: 10
VA:10
ID:9
Edit: Another tornado, right after I make the post. And of course, it's in Wyoming