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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    The 40 days between Aug 20- Oct1 appears to be the main stretch in hurricane season. Almost every active season has had above average ACE in that stretch. Really can't say much about the season by what happens before then.
  2. Amped
    I can't see the center, but it's likely way west of the forecast track
  3. Amped
    Looks like it's snowing all the way down to the coast in Fairfield/ Bridgeport.
  4. Amped
    Looks like some decent rates in Albany.
  5. Amped
    Imagine if there was a bulls ass that could talk, and screamed "Hey everyone look at me" every 2 minutes. You think people would catch on and stop falling for it after 70+ years but apparently sometimes they don't.
  6. Amped
    I hope a hurricane permanently stalls off the coast so we can hallucinate on which way it's moving 365 days a year.
  7. Amped
    Somebody smash the HMON and the HWRF now. Their track outputs are not supposed to be taken seriously.
  8. Amped
    TV Mets are going to have to start calling "the eye" of the Dorian "The Pupil" so they don't confuse the public.
  9. Amped
    Freeport, spends 24hrs in the eye on the Euro. Plenty of buildings to destroy there, I don't know how well built they are, but they are going to need to hold up to CAT 4/5
  10. Amped
    As long as the 3km NAM agrees
  11. Amped
    After the performance over the past 24hrs, I think every model and every ensemble member should should be completely tossed.
  12. Amped
    Euro has a pretty strong low coming out of the central plains into the Ohio Valley late next week. It would likely result in a multiday severe outbreak. GFS looks totally different.
  13. Amped
    2018 Tornado stats from 4 states I handpicked. Tells most of the 2018 story. WY: 14 OK: 10 VA:10 ID:9 Edit: Another tornado, right after I make the post. And of course, it's in Wyoming
  14. Amped
    Now this is almost like a storm moving up the Gulf of California.
  15. Amped
    Looks like the deathband totals got killed by the upslope totals in a very slow painful way.
  16. Amped
    15:1 should be about the maximum ratio allowed on large snowstorm >20". If you have more than 30, you better have >2" liquid.
  17. Amped
    NH and Maine look like they're getting rocked just as hard as MASS
  18. Amped
    Poor Tolland, they got fringed.
  19. Amped
    Yeah kind of an odd sounding there's lift above and below H7
  20. Amped
    So a deathband forms over ORH even if no model has one there.
  21. Amped
    GFS and ECMWF D9-10 showing a possible Philippines storm. Storms don't often form below 10N, but when they do, there isn't much shear, and SSTS stay high year round in these areas.
  22. Amped
    Sandy definitely looked worse. If they had satellite in 1938 it probably wouldn't have looked much better. Transitioning storms aren't going to look as good on satellite.
  23. Amped
    Probably down to a tame 100kts with a 10 foot storm surge over the worlds most populated area. No big deal.
  24. Amped
    Taken a big jog west of the forecast track the past few hours. Moving due north as far as I can tell.
  25. Amped
    You can see it's fighting off shear and dry and maintaining intensity. It will hit cooler SSTs after 00UTC but still above 26C until close to landfall. Also models show landfall between 15 and 18utc, this track looks a tad slow.
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