GFS hangs a lot more cold air back in Ontario and Quebec than any other model. All models have been trending away from that idea so I wouldn't count on it verifying.
216 500mb is bizarre. Going to hook back into NJ/NYC. Nowhere to escape.
Edit, nevermind it just stalled offshore. Northern stream didn't capture it, although it looks close.
I really don't see how we make this setup work. The high is over West Virginia, and doesn't extend north into New England . The scenarios suppressed enough for snow all have weak sauce