Jump to content

Amped

Members
  • Posts

    14,168
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Amped

  1. Nice to see every model handling that differently. UKMET has It has support from a few EPS members.
  2. CMC ninjas a cutoff low and coastal, almost gets us with some light snow. Decent hit for SE VA and NC.
  3. GFS really confused about what it wants to do with the lead shortwave in the day 8 system. Ends up stalling over Iowa for 36hrs. We get some flurries
  4. Seems to be the trend this year Snow doesn't want to come anywhere near the MA. We can't even get a close call this year.
  5. GFS is not damping out the day 5 shortwave as much this run. Maybe closer to a storm.
  6. Blocking looks transient. That means the cold shot will be also. Doesn't even look like much of it gets into the NAO or AO domain.
  7. My guess is that's an error and the GFS/CMC are correct. Could be a decent tornado outbreak along the gulf coast if it does verify.
  8. That's what 1888 must have looked like just 100 miles further south.
  9. There's a vortex of no parked over Alaska and another vortex of no parked over Greenland. As if that weren't enough, there is a ridge axis of no over the Gulf of Mexico. We are not squeezing a yes out of this pattern.
  10. We will all get killed by flying pigs twice before we catch a break in that pattern.
  11. Has a closed 500 mb low right in the middle of a ridge.
  12. It's a nice setup, if the troff in southern Quebec can stay out of the way. Can very easily produce a strong burst of lift and overperform given the position of the high.
  13. Nothing worse than a central gomex ridge. GFS long range somehow ninjas a KU storm for New England in fantasy range, but generally a hopeless pattern for us.
  14. Strong zonal flow doesn't support a big storm tracking up the coast.
  15. Euro not digging the northern stream. Just shoots straight across southern Canada
  16. Euro looks even more separated with the streams than 00z through 120h
  17. Why I'm not bullish on anything in this pattern 7 days out.
  18. Just like 20 years ago, I'm expecting a KU storm to appear out of nowhere tomorrow morning.
  19. The chill storm only needs to trend about 400 miles in 5 days to give us a good snowstorm. I've only seen one storm actually do that....... In the past week
  20. Triple Barrel low, looks a lot of the February 25 2010 storm that backed into New England. It didn't back the low into the coast fast enough for us to get pasted, but I thought it could have given the 500mb setup. Probably some stupid convective feedback thing that kept it moving north instead of being captured and hurled into the DelMarva.
  21. This looks just like a number of setups in January- February 98. None of those produce anything decent.
×
×
  • Create New...