Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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GFS has splits the vortex in Quebec and has a lobe over Maine. Thats what's keeping everything suppressed.
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Traces up and down I95. Won't verify in the DC metro of course.
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The Euro has been at least somewhat consistent.
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CMC rides the low up the front much quicker, hence it's further north with the track. Looks like north of Albany to Portland gets some snow. Unusal for May, but a lot less insane than the GFS.
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Models have been all over the place with this system the past 36hrs, so I'd think there's well above average uncertainty on the track and intensity of that low for 5 days out.
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Looks like models abandon the idea of crushing the southern stream with the PV day 4-5. I thought I was losing my mind there for a while.. Now looks like a phase,. Rain and wind, with some pretty insane windchills for May.
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18z GFS is close to something but it gets crushed by the PV. A very odd problem to have in May
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That looks so similar to the March 2013 snowfall forecast map, I almost puked when I saw it.
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Is there a record for most concave squall line?
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Ripping on the webcam east of Bennington.
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Hopefully it's not a big problem.
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That wasn't my point. Read the last item on the list.
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Seems Legit New York ----------------277,445 New Jersey-------------102,196 Massachusetts-------50,969 California ---------------40,812 Pennsylvania----------40,149 Illinois---------------------39,658 Michigan----------------36,641 Florida--------------------30,533 Africa ---------------------28,109
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All models have been showing the best rates on the front end of this. NAM has a second deform band on the back end of the storm, that forms farther east than the first one. -
The evolution of the storm looks a lot like December 2003. Late phase and High pressure to the north that doesn't weaken. The precip shield moves very erratically
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That also looks like a crazy banding signature over central NE. Probably similar to Oct 2011.
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Just needs a brief touchdown in MS
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Should be at the MS border around midnight or maybe 11:45
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Trying to warn a tornado one football field at a time is challenging.
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Looks like it got the monkey off of it's back. Nice hook again.
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Nothing is skipping over southern Mississippi this year. Faith
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Lol better jump over MS
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Found the start of this. 2.5 hrs so far probably over 100 miles.
