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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Icon shows the storm you'd expect given the H5 track.
  2. No it was two days after. Close, it was a couple days after that event.
  3. December 2013 we had a similar event. 4" in Frederick and rain in dc
  4. Crazy coastal tuck on this run. 850mb winds go from south to north fast.
  5. Let the run finish. More amped troff might offset the confluence later on.
  6. Remember how bad forecast were in 2002. there was 4" on the ground with SN+ in state college by the time people saw this paper. Ended up with 8"
  7. But it went knickerbocker on us this run
  8. I am really not committed to any solution at this point. Models still suck 6 days out and this run was a pretty big change from the last few.
  9. Lol Boston stays all snow because the low bombs 13 mb in 6 hrs and heads due east. Not happening
  10. I like its solution better for that reason
  11. Southern stream is weak. No low coming out of the gulf coast states.
  12. 12" of snow in 6hr bullseye from HGR to BGM. Actually weakens a bit to 10" in 6hrs over New England.
  13. There a 3 small disturbances merging here. Models have been pretty consistent with the northern and southern ones. However they've been all over the place with the middle disturbance. Luckily it was never going to be a huge event.
  14. Missing out on that 2.7" jackpot over Richmond. We'll never catch up now
  15. R/S line is rapidly collapsing SE through RI on the last few frames.
  16. If east hartford county gets a lot more than west Hartford county, it's a big win for 3km models. HRRR 3k NAM and HRDPS had a big gradient across the county.
  17. NYC get snow a little snowstorm on 2/15-2/16 and a huge one on 2/25-2/26 in 2010. I was mentioning the little storm on 2/15 cause it was a 500mb bowling ball that tracked right over us. It would have been another double digit dump if there was any sort of excuse for a high over New England
  18. Yes we just got a few flurries and a dryslot. I think the NYC area and NE did quite a bit better. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2010/us0215.php
  19. I hate storms with no high. 2/15/2010 Fail 3/3/2010 Fail and most similar to Mondays setup IMO 12/26/2010 Fail
  20. Abot the best we're gonna do without a high.
  21. GFS has a closed H5 low track along the MD line and we don't get a flake. Officially an unworkable setup for us. I'd be mildly intrigued for NC and SE VA though where most of his audience is.
  22. Remember when we had this setup in Dec 1960 and Dec 1995 and NYC to BOS actually got decent snow out of it? Dec 2003 wasn't all that different either.
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