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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    Looks like winds are funneling into the NYC bite on that HRRX map. If correct, winds will be higher there than SNJ .
  2. Amped
    Unlikely that weakens until it gets past central CT.
  3. Amped
    Parts of the Philly region have had over 10" of rain this week. Just a few drops here.
  4. Amped
    DMV monsoon season has begun
  5. Amped
    Christobal gets out of the way tomorrow night Might squeeze in some decent storms over OH and E MI. Euro and GFS also showing convection near the ULL center moving over IA and WI.. Could make for some odd looking radar images.
  6. Amped
    Most of the CAM don't have storms in our are until well after 00z. Not the best time for tornados. NRN PA and NY get convection earlier in the day, they probably have a better chance.
  7. Amped
    I can't see the center, but it's likely way west of the forecast track
  8. Amped
    There's a heavy line moving through BGM. If that holds together for 1.5 hours northeast of the city is going to get crushed.
  9. Amped
    Big squall headed for the northern part of NYC
  10. Amped
    Looks like it's snowing all the way down to the coast in Fairfield/ Bridgeport.
  11. Amped
    Looks like some decent rates in Albany.
  12. Amped
    A band is forming on Albany radar over Glens falls. Looks like its headed into Vermont south of Rutland.
  13. Amped
    Whiteout in the squalls south of Buffalo, hopefully they make it over the mountains. Will make for some nice pics.
  14. Amped
    It's happening.
  15. Amped
    That may be the best chance. Really starting to lose confidence in the weak CCB. Those squalls are nasty. Insane lapse rates, and plenty of dry air at 900mb. Perfect ingredients for the squalls making their own cold air. GFS showing 500 SBCAPE with temps in the 30s to low 40s.
  16. Amped
    It caved quite a bit at 500mb and with the surface low track and intensity.
  17. Amped
    It wouldn't be the NAM if it didn't have both the snowiest and least snowiest runs of any model withing 60hrs of the storm.
  18. Amped
    All models have trended further east and less amplified with the northern stream. That is what it causing the later phase. This was similar to 2010 when models miraculously brought the storm back . Not the likely scenario, but still worth watching 18z and 00z in case somehow the NS trends back west again.
  19. Amped
    Euro is 7MBs weaker with the low in the TN valley at 30hrs than the GFS. MCS coming out of OK causing feedback issues?
  20. Amped
    RGEM and ICON look weaker too. Last nights 18z EURO and 00z GFS might have been the best runs.
  21. Amped
    GFS trended northwest with the track and saucier with the jackpot. It's within a run or two of matching the euro and it's 700mb frontogenisis max matches well with where the Euro had the jackpot. NE PA to NW ME. If the deathband formed there, it would match the Euro.
  22. Amped
    It did a very good job tracing the snow swath it put out 12z. Maybe some higher amounts, but everything is in the same spot in general.
  23. Amped
    18z ICON is my favorite run by far because it turns the elongated frontal wave into a bowling ball the fastest and deforms the crap out of NH and the berks. Best chance for someone to get a foot.
  24. Amped
    Euro going to show a second system Sunday night- Monday.
  25. Amped
    ICON and RGEM also really amped up. I think this will be like every other thing I thought was worth watching this year, it will burn my eyes, and the GFS will prove itself a joke.
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