Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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Euro 114hrs vs GGEM 108hrs 4mb and 3 miles difference.
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This is the first Euro run I'd take for the area. Looks like a January 2011 2 part event, but with higher totals.
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CCB FTW
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UKMET is 6-10 for most of the area.
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All eyes on Dr. No
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Going to be a long ride from Rockville to Hagerstown.
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CMC, GFS and UKMET definitely show less northern stream involvement compared to 12z. It's subtle but heights over the Great lakes are higher during the storm. A good reason to be cautiously optimistic.
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CMC actually has a good H5. Essentially looks very close to the blizzard of 83 in the eastern 3rd of the country at both H5 and the surface.
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So much for no Gulf coast low
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Yep I think the lack of a strong primary is also a factor on the runs showing a quick coastal transfer. I'd rather not rely on that though.
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Icon shows the storm you'd expect given the H5 track.
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No it was two days after. Close, it was a couple days after that event.
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December 2013 we had a similar event. 4" in Frederick and rain in dc
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Crazy coastal tuck on this run. 850mb winds go from south to north fast.
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Let the run finish. More amped troff might offset the confluence later on.
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Remember how bad forecast were in 2002. there was 4" on the ground with SN+ in state college by the time people saw this paper. Ended up with 8"
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I95 jackpot depending on traffic
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But it went knickerbocker on us this run
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I am really not committed to any solution at this point. Models still suck 6 days out and this run was a pretty big change from the last few.
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Lol Boston stays all snow because the low bombs 13 mb in 6 hrs and heads due east. Not happening
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I like its solution better for that reason
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Southern stream is weak. No low coming out of the gulf coast states.
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12" of snow in 6hr bullseye from HGR to BGM. Actually weakens a bit to 10" in 6hrs over New England.
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I 81 gets rocked
