Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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CMC is a decent snowstorm
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CMC gives us a much better chance next week than the GFS.
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I don't think we're getting a snowstorm until the GAK low retrogrades or weakens significantly.
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More flurries.
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The 1003mb low over MN at 144hrs on the 06z GFS is now a 1037mb high on the 18z run.
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Strange setup at 216. Closed H5 over IN, but no surface low. Looks like something to watch on future runs though.
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The confluence looks a lot further SW this run.
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Hopefully the block retrogrades all the way to the EPO domain. Right now the GFS long range is really giving me a Feb 98 vibe
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Not a snowstorm accept for a few inches in the NYC metro. It does go straight through the upstream ridge though.
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Maybe it'll trend east
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pivotal weather
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New GFS para takes the low offshore from 1003mb to 976mb in 12hrs. That stretches plausibility a bit for east coast cyclogenesis.
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GFS lets the southern stream escape OTS but it's close to phasing something.
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Ugly wave 1 in the wrong hemisphere.
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Some guy in SE VA. They'll get 3-5" from their sneaky costal skimmer on 1/3 which will quickly sizzle away in the pack torch. Everyone else is SOL.
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Low Tracks over Hartford CT,, but west of the Hudson stays snow. Interesting storm. Almost looks like Dec 2001 further west. Edit: All of ME changes over to rain.
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Captured coastal setup on the GFS We get some decent snow but much better to our NE. Wilmington to Philly FTW
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Yeah I guess there is a chance at something day 8-9. Going to need it to happen a lot further west if it's going to track up the coast though.
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Latest Euro looks kind of ugly. PNA is just not cooperating in the 7-10 day timeframe. GFS shows an ugly PNA through day 14 also. I was hoping it would improve by now, but looks like we'll waste the first part of the block.
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The updated NWS radar is terrible
Amped replied to Heisy's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://www.marylandwx.com/radar-data/ This site always had the MD DC VA area covered pretty well. Just gotta copy it for every other major metro. -
Sheets of rain blowing around, but I was hoping for more wind.
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Euro has great blocking, but PNA is a disaster. Hopefully the look changes.
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The updated NWS radar is terrible
Amped replied to Heisy's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Loads slower than wundermap 15 years ago. I can't tell if tell if I'm looking at base or a composite. COD remade their old site without using flash pretty easily. That's what nws should have done. Add dual pole products and increase the resolution also. Most of all, make sure it loads fast. -
Snow to sleet for us. It does produce a continuous swath of snow from the CA mountains all the way to RI.. Really slow mover. Seems to be one of those Atlantic VS pacific -PNA VS -NAO SE ridge vs confluence trilogies. Many more bizarre runs to come I'm sure.
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CMC is probably the closest thing to March 1888 that I've ever seen on a model run. Feb 2010 did not have a 1042 high. Would be a raging blizzard for NYC and western CT.
