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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. For once the GFS is slower and more amped up with the troff than the Euro.
  2. Yes, And it will slow down through the middle of the country it always does inside 72hrs, Of course the confluence can still shove it out to sea if it doesn't lift out somewhat
  3. The deepening rates models have been consistently showing with this storm are insane. 994-976mb in 6 hrs. 1005 to 967mb in 18hrs.
  4. GFS is slower with higher heights ahead of the storm compared to 18Z. Also PV in canada is slower and weaker The high is back also.
  5. Gets down to 957mb 500 miles east of Atlantic City
  6. That is the ULL from the first storm and it did not treat our high kindly.
  7. CMC has an ULL north of the great lakes. No other model shows this feature. It's our only hope at getting something to phase and come up the coast.
  8. Fringed, but who cares? It's weak sauce anyways. A miller B with a 997 primary. Jackpot east of ohio is 6".
  9. Would be odd to have a historic storm on both the east and west coasts at the same time.
  10. You can see the trend of higher heights over E Canada which caused the shift north in track. 700mb temps also look pretty ugly at the height of the storm. Sleet wouldn't be suprising up to the NY PA border. -2c 700mb temps usually means there's a layer above 0c in there somewhere.
  11. Josh would chase this thing if it were over land.
  12. Euro looks very good at 162hrs. Low heading up the southern apps. Lots of cold air ahead of it.
  13. Looks very similar to PD I. Small fast moving ULL with a strong high over NNE
  14. Yes, doesn't look like it was on any prior Euro runs.
  15. ULL north of MN causes probelms, but it does not phase. The coastal goes east off NJ
  16. CMC is not digging the NS as much as the GFS or it's 00z run at 72hrs. Probably good news.
  17. GFS digs the NS too much. We need it flatter and more progressive so it gets out of the way and allows the HP to build in before the SS.
  18. Icon is mostly rain S of the MD line and mostly snow north of it. 135 hrs has a continuous stripe of snow from the KS/CO line to the Jersey shore.
  19. 12z was better in N MD. 00z was better in DC and VA.
  20. Still a good hit, but 12z was better. Didn't move through as fast. This run starts 12hrs earlier and is a shorter duration event.
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