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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. I'm fine with this run. It's an OTS track that could be easily avoided by slower troff with higher heights ahead of it. A shift that almost always happens inside 72hrs.
  2. Well some of the precip hooked back into NE. It didn't pull the coastal back as much as I thought it would though.
  3. And NS has the capture at 162. Hooking back into NJ and NE
  4. . Precip is lightening up at 144 but the NS finally trying to dive in for a save
  5. NS not digging this run, but the western ridge is more amped up.
  6. CMC going for the December 2003 style evolution. it's a Miller B, but the coastal does a huge pivot and clobbers ENY and NE.
  7. We wake up two mornings in a row with the same weather. Think that's fitting for a groundhog day blizzard.
  8. As we know it never comes NE. Just ask the people from NH that got 3ft from the December storm.
  9. Low moves maybe 5 miles between 144 and 150hrs. Panels look almost identical Edit: still stalled near Norfolk at 156.
  10. UKMET is good, but ICON is the top seed for 12z so far. Gotta give it some bonus points too for pulling the surface low back down from Long Island to Cape May.
  11. Nice that it's trended south every run for the last 48hrs. Hopefully a good sign, but as usual, all options on the table.
  12. R/S line comes crashing back at 168hrs closed H7 over the Del Marva. I say lockitin.
  13. Further OTS coastal than 12z. I95 still changes but Leesburg to FDK still snow at 168
  14. You are forgetting the perfectly timed NS system over the Dakotas. That's going to yank it back into the coast and create a stalemate tug of war. Probably crawls from VA to ME over the following 48hrs.
  15. Ukie looks better than the GFS or CMC. Would love if it went out to 192hrs. Probably destroys DC to Boston.
  16. Insane run of the gfs para. It's a March 58 look alike on the 500 maps. Only difference is the a initial surface low in the Midwest. After that the blocking scheme and the evolution of the troff through it are very similar.
  17. CMC is way south with sundays storm. Looks like a hit incoming.
  18. The ridge retrograding from GA to TX between 60 and 78 is brutal Usually it's impossible for us to get rid of SE ridges. I don't know what to believe anymore.
  19. Warning for those who like happy things, look away.
  20. GEFS has more members and is more dispersive than it was prior to the upgrade, so I'm not really surprised.
  21. Well if the euro is going to keep trending less progressive with tomorrows system and more progressive with the 28th then 2021 sucks as badly as 2020. It's only the one storm we need to trend slower coming out of the southwest that doesn't.
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