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Amped

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  1. Amped
    2020NOV02 235017 6.1 944.1 117.4 6.1 6.3 7.7 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -11.78 -78.83 EYE 8 IR 20.0 14.32 82.48 ARCHER GOES16 18.8 Only one other storm had a raw T above 7.5 in the last week
  2. Amped
    Just for comparison. I think the color scale is still the same
  3. Amped
    Going to be close. HMON HWRF start weakening after 3z, but still have a cat4 at 6z. It may get close to CAT 5 between now and 3z.
  4. Amped
    ETA made a big turn to the south the last few hours. Not making much progress towards the coast at this point.
  5. Amped
    Hoping the eye will warm a little more. It can do better than -55c
  6. Amped
    This reminds me of flying American Airlines.
  7. Amped
    Unfortunately from MS and not Miami, where it could get down to the storm much quicker.
  8. Amped
    Euro is handling the southern stream trough/cutoff off the southeast coast differently than other models. It is a lot stronger and further southwest in the medium range. It pulls ETA east and stalls it instead of letting it come north.
  9. Amped
    The 1pm upgrade was enough for a record.
  10. Amped
    The projected landfall point is close to Puerto Cabezas, The one population center along the Nicaragua coast.
  11. Amped
    Someone finally made the cheesy ETA pun
  12. Amped
    Recons planes have had a lot of mileage put on them this year. I'm not surprised that they are having issues.
  13. Amped
    The eye shape looks great, and stable. It could use some more warming though, which will probably happen in the next few hours. I already like this better than delta.
  14. Amped
    Looks like the storm we've been waiting for. Has a Pinhole eye thats rapidly warming. Probably deepening 3mb/hr. This is a good time to move the storm floater over to some random clouds over the mid atlantic.
  15. Amped
    IF the HWRF is correct, it's already a cat1 below 980mb Banding on the west side looks a lot better than a few hours ago, and there's a large convective burst over the core.
  16. Amped
    Most bullish HWRF run I've seen this year. It's 981mb at hr6 so that's averaging 2mb/hr pressure falls overnight and tomorrow morning.
  17. Amped
    36hrs is plenty of time to make CAT 2. Has a decent shot at CAT3 also now that it looks like the high end scenarios are verifying.
  18. Amped
    It varies depending on the storm, and the altitude, and the temperature profile. I would expect it to be higher because it's hard for the drop to hit the minimum pressure. It's just a single point. The plane flies a line giving it more sample coverage
  19. Amped
    Drop was 993mb extrap 992mb. What more do you want?
  20. Amped
    Pretty small core appears to be developing. This would increase the odds of an HWRF RI scenario, although I doubt it gets sub 950mb..
  21. Amped
    I thought the GFS was Bizzare last night. But now the 18z run highlights include. 16mb pressure drop while over Cuba 922mb snowicane in the Gulf of Maine.
  22. Amped
    Too bad it's a lock
  23. Amped
    That storm surge in Virac is going to be extremely sudden when the get in the back eyewall.
  24. Amped
    In these conditions, there's literally a better chance of it being taken out by a flying pig then staying online
  25. Amped
    Looks like Virac will get in the Eye.
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