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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    CMC tucks us long time this run.
  2. Amped
    Nam doesn't need a reason, it just spits out random blobs.
  3. Amped
    Better than 00z, but nowhere near as good as 12z yesterday. Not stalling east of Cape May anymore.
  4. Amped
    OMG just saw the 6z Navgem. . Makes every other model look like 10 minutes of flurries.
  5. Amped
    This all comes down to how deep the eastern armpit of the omega block is.
  6. Amped
    Lol this looks like the run 3 days from the 2016 blizzard that gave only gave Hagerstown 1"
  7. Amped
    Synoptically we should have heavy snow at 78hrs That massive convective blob offshore might be causing some subsidence in the cold sector.
  8. Amped
    Euro west with the confluence again
  9. Amped
    That is odd but I am not convinced that is the issue. You can see differences in the 200mb winds at hr 90 before the vortex
  10. Amped
    Now would be the time for him to secretly sell all his shares in the suppressed solution.
  11. Amped
    CCB is 105-126hrs. Possibly starts a bit earlier in Northern spots. That's plenty of time for a BECS.
  12. Amped
    LLJ pivots over us. Should it choose to have a deform band, we are in the perfect spot.
  13. Amped
    850 winds at 84hrs is a decent change. coastal is forming faster.
  14. Amped
    Maybe my memory is bad but it does seem like the UKMET has southern hiccup runs with a lot of east coast storms.
  15. Amped
    UKMET actually has the jackpot SW of us. Right where we want to see it 4 days out.
  16. Amped
    Both the GFS and CMC have incredible CCBS. Watch carefully and you can see the coastal drop back to the southwest along the NJ/DE coasts. I don't know if that will actually verify.
  17. Amped
    DC does pretty bad with Miller Bs where the primary gets north of the Ohio River. It's going to be tough to keep this one south.
  18. Amped
    And the scary part is I think the QPF it's showing over PA is too light given the firehose. Should be a massive area of 30+ from Garret county to Binghamton .
  19. Amped
    Insane run for the PA Turnpike, and most of PA for that matter.
  20. Amped
    Not liking the further east primary. I'd rather the primary stay further way from us.
  21. Amped
    Para is probably having convective issues and taking the low too far east.
  22. Amped
    There's what I thought the 00z run was going to do. 00z was actually a work of art sneaking it OTS with a + SLP anomaly along the entire east coast.
  23. Amped
    More ridging between the storm and the 50/50 low this run. Looks good so far.
  24. Amped
    Don't know where the R/S line is, but the area of 10+ and 20+ on that run is going to be huge. Crushes all of NE and eastern 3rd of PA/NY after us.
  25. Amped
    Okay so the Euro was a southern outlier and has not much support from ensembles? I thought this Euro run was wonky anyway and should have phased. The HP is pretty darn far east and extends down the coast. It's not easy for something to slip OTS in this pattern. GFS and CMC both had more reasonable looking outcomes.
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