Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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Ouch
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GFS will probably lose. It's just flattening out the wave too fast. There is not a 2/5/10 confluence zone there to crush it.
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GFS is out on a limb having heaviest snowfall over us. Every other model now shows it NE PA to BOS. I'm taking a page from DTs playbook and tossing the GFS.
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Closed 700mb low over Atlantic city, so That probably Implies NYC will get crushed and could be the jackpot of the whole event.. Sharp cutoff north of there though.
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Big wiff north of NYC almost like FEB 2010, but cutoff is a bit further north.
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More progressive troff FTW. I think It's the Pacjet behind the storm that causes this since it didn't start out more progressive.
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There has been a trend to slow the troff down like most big systems ever since I can remember. Hopefully this is a hiccup. 3 more runs on this trend and the jackpot is Albany to Burlington.
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Wondering the same thing.
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That is a sharp right turn between 108 and 114
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Euro 114hrs vs GGEM 108hrs 4mb and 3 miles difference.
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This is the first Euro run I'd take for the area. Looks like a January 2011 2 part event, but with higher totals.
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CCB FTW
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UKMET is 6-10 for most of the area.
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All eyes on Dr. No
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Going to be a long ride from Rockville to Hagerstown.
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CMC, GFS and UKMET definitely show less northern stream involvement compared to 12z. It's subtle but heights over the Great lakes are higher during the storm. A good reason to be cautiously optimistic.
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CMC actually has a good H5. Essentially looks very close to the blizzard of 83 in the eastern 3rd of the country at both H5 and the surface.
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So much for no Gulf coast low
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Yep I think the lack of a strong primary is also a factor on the runs showing a quick coastal transfer. I'd rather not rely on that though.
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Icon shows the storm you'd expect given the H5 track.
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No it was two days after. Close, it was a couple days after that event.
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December 2013 we had a similar event. 4" in Frederick and rain in dc
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Crazy coastal tuck on this run. 850mb winds go from south to north fast.
