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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. I've only seen an apps runner so far on models. No Cleveland superbomb solutions yet.
  2. The high is in a similar spot to the GFS. The LP in the south is about 5mb weaker with much less return flow coming from the gulf.
  3. Nothing off the table, could track easily track over Detroit, or end up a cutoff low over Arizona. There isn't anything really pinning this pattern down.
  4. 6z also had a pretty big disconnect between the GFS and the GEFS. Looks a little fishy. Time to put more trust in the EPS
  5. About 10 more runs until it's over Chicago.
  6. Got a high in the perfect spot, a 50/50 low and the shortwave is a well defined 540-546 split. This is usually how a KU storm starts, not saying it will happen though.
  7. CMC is quicker and drops the 500mb low right over us. I don't see how that spacing is going to work for anything more than a clipper though.
  8. Just needs to dig further west so it doesn't get shredded by the low off the coast.
  9. JFK: 8.1" on .9 precip but Flushing Meadows 7.9" on .53" precip. Didn't happen they were both along the same band. The .53" is probably correct for both sites. Gives about 15:1 ratios.
  10. Got 3-4 on the ground, plus an additional 12" of virga.
  11. Always amazes me how this much precip can evaporate.
  12. Delmarva stuff starting to breakout
  13. Can see the surface low trying to form off NC on IR https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-eastcoast-14-24-1-10-2&checked=latlon-map-id-glm_flash&colorbar=undefined
  14. If the dover radar we're accurate most of us would have snow already
  15. Puking fatties on the Hagerstown traffic cams
  16. You don't need to be a weather buff to know a warning is more serious than an advisory, Just like you probably don't need to be one to look out the window tomorrow morning and realize it's not worth trying to go into work.
  17. They don't have to. They're just going to be really sorry if they don't issue them for I95 and the city.
  18. The nam was initialized with a stronger low off the Florida coast. This tracks out to sea and takes some of the precip with it. Edit: not initialized but the low is stronger by the time it's off the carolinas.
  19. Like how the GFS takes the highest totals straight up 95 from DC to Boston. Going to make for some major issues if it over performs.
  20. Philly to Boston could easily get a 6+ event from this. We may be struggling to get 2.
  21. We settled for 1-3 on every storm last year
  22. Okay does the Icon have us back in a better mood?
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