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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    Insane run for the PA Turnpike, and most of PA for that matter.
  2. Amped
    Not liking the further east primary. I'd rather the primary stay further way from us.
  3. Amped
    Para is probably having convective issues and taking the low too far east.
  4. Amped
    There's what I thought the 00z run was going to do. 00z was actually a work of art sneaking it OTS with a + SLP anomaly along the entire east coast.
  5. Amped
    More ridging between the storm and the 50/50 low this run. Looks good so far.
  6. Amped
    Don't know where the R/S line is, but the area of 10+ and 20+ on that run is going to be huge. Crushes all of NE and eastern 3rd of PA/NY after us.
  7. Amped
    Okay so the Euro was a southern outlier and has not much support from ensembles? I thought this Euro run was wonky anyway and should have phased. The HP is pretty darn far east and extends down the coast. It's not easy for something to slip OTS in this pattern. GFS and CMC both had more reasonable looking outcomes.
  8. Amped
    I'm fine with this run. It's an OTS track that could be easily avoided by slower troff with higher heights ahead of it. A shift that almost always happens inside 72hrs.
  9. Amped
    Well some of the precip hooked back into NE. It didn't pull the coastal back as much as I thought it would though.
  10. Amped
    And NS has the capture at 162. Hooking back into NJ and NE
  11. Amped
    . Precip is lightening up at 144 but the NS finally trying to dive in for a save
  12. Amped
    NS not digging this run, but the western ridge is more amped up.
  13. Amped
    CMC going for the December 2003 style evolution. it's a Miller B, but the coastal does a huge pivot and clobbers ENY and NE.
  14. Amped
    We wake up two mornings in a row with the same weather. Think that's fitting for a groundhog day blizzard.
  15. Amped
    As we know it never comes NE. Just ask the people from NH that got 3ft from the December storm.
  16. Amped
    Yeah except more stalled.
  17. Amped
    Low moves maybe 5 miles between 144 and 150hrs. Panels look almost identical Edit: still stalled near Norfolk at 156.
  18. Amped
    The primary weakens much faster this run.
  19. Amped
    A lot more snow in NC this run
  20. Amped
    UKMET is good, but ICON is the top seed for 12z so far. Gotta give it some bonus points too for pulling the surface low back down from Long Island to Cape May.
  21. Amped
    Nice that it's trended south every run for the last 48hrs. Hopefully a good sign, but as usual, all options on the table.
  22. Amped
    R/S line comes crashing back at 168hrs closed H7 over the Del Marva. I say lockitin.
  23. Amped
    Further OTS coastal than 12z. I95 still changes but Leesburg to FDK still snow at 168
  24. Amped
    You are forgetting the perfectly timed NS system over the Dakotas. That's going to yank it back into the coast and create a stalemate tug of war. Probably crawls from VA to ME over the following 48hrs.
  25. Amped
    Ukie looks better than the GFS or CMC. Would love if it went out to 192hrs. Probably destroys DC to Boston.
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