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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    We all know that if we were actually getting a 30" snowstorm the 18z NAM would be showing at least 60"
  2. Amped
    RGEM only has 30" this run. Baby step cave in.
  3. Amped
    List of 2 part events since I've been in MD: All had a long dryslot and or mixing in the middle. 2/9-2/10 1/26/11 2/13/2014 1/13/2019
  4. Amped
    I'd keep it 8-12 along I 95 until NNJ. Just too much room for a dryslot and mixing. to go with a blockbuster there. Going to need major tuck to get it.
  5. Amped
    Less of a dryslot than 00z, but the track and evolution look really similar.
  6. Amped
    Only the RGEM it's 3X as much for a lot of us.
  7. Amped
    Every model has a more robust NS vortex coming down from Canada. This is similar to what happened with the December 2003 storm if it verifies. I was waiting for it but didn't think it would suddenly appear on one run. 6z runs are going to be telling to see if this is real or a hiccup.
  8. Amped
    CMC is best case scenario for everyone. Form VA to ME just about. It's the only model showing a HECS.
  9. Amped
    CMC tucks us long time this run.
  10. Amped
    Nam doesn't need a reason, it just spits out random blobs.
  11. Amped
    Better than 00z, but nowhere near as good as 12z yesterday. Not stalling east of Cape May anymore.
  12. Amped
    OMG just saw the 6z Navgem. . Makes every other model look like 10 minutes of flurries.
  13. Amped
    This all comes down to how deep the eastern armpit of the omega block is.
  14. Amped
    Lol this looks like the run 3 days from the 2016 blizzard that gave only gave Hagerstown 1"
  15. Amped
    Synoptically we should have heavy snow at 78hrs That massive convective blob offshore might be causing some subsidence in the cold sector.
  16. Amped
    Euro west with the confluence again
  17. Amped
    That is odd but I am not convinced that is the issue. You can see differences in the 200mb winds at hr 90 before the vortex
  18. Amped
    Now would be the time for him to secretly sell all his shares in the suppressed solution.
  19. Amped
    CCB is 105-126hrs. Possibly starts a bit earlier in Northern spots. That's plenty of time for a BECS.
  20. Amped
    LLJ pivots over us. Should it choose to have a deform band, we are in the perfect spot.
  21. Amped
    850 winds at 84hrs is a decent change. coastal is forming faster.
  22. Amped
    Maybe my memory is bad but it does seem like the UKMET has southern hiccup runs with a lot of east coast storms.
  23. Amped
    UKMET actually has the jackpot SW of us. Right where we want to see it 4 days out.
  24. Amped
    Both the GFS and CMC have incredible CCBS. Watch carefully and you can see the coastal drop back to the southwest along the NJ/DE coasts. I don't know if that will actually verify.
  25. Amped
    DC does pretty bad with Miller Bs where the primary gets north of the Ohio River. It's going to be tough to keep this one south.
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