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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Bizzare run. Low tracks from Yucatan to FL, huge ice storm for GA/SC
  2. Yeah they do look better. My eyes are still recovering from looking at 12z runs. Hopefully they were a hiccup.
  3. GFS Para has the same performance score as the old GFS. This happens with every supposed "improvement" to the GFS physics and resolution. It's still just as wrong as the old GFS but in a different way. Kind of reminds me of the Washington Football team. Whatever improvements they make they're still 6-10, they just win a different 6 games.
  4. For the day 10 storm I'm a bit worried about suppression.
  5. Euro trying to set up a big storm. in the MS valley at 144..
  6. Euro has a gradient flow with a lot of potential for overrunning events. Models don't always see them until a couple days in advance. Euro attempts one Tuesday and one Friday,. These are the kind of events that pop out of nowhere in good patterns.
  7. Good job on the 144hr forecast Euro. Think it might have overamped the flow a bit?
  8. Quite an odd looking 500mb map. Actually has the polar vortex bent in a way it could phase and form a major storm.
  9. Euro has a great lakes low but we still get a quick 4-8" and don't changeover. Going to blow around quite a bit with a 960 low in the gulf of ME
  10. I think that one man is the DC metro right now. We never quit. We got 3-5" and are hell bent on making it 3.25"-5.25"
  11. Yes DC and Philly know how to screw up Miller Bs. Philly maybe able to pull off a few inches more tonight and tomorrow.
  12. The only way you get a band to stall that much is topographic enhancement.
  13. That should clear it up. I think all of SW CT is around 15-17" now. The 1251 BDR ob looks above surrounding areas. Might have been a drift.
  14. Really picking up now, .02" in the last 30 minutes
  15. Looks like the mixing line in frederick county is moving east a bit.
  16. Getting some of the least frozen precip of the entire storm now.
  17. 6z , it trended another 15 or 20 miles south. has 12" just north of Baltimore.
  18. Anyone awake? 6Z NAM looks even better for NE MD. DOX radar also looks interesting precip shooting west across the bay further south than I was expecting.
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