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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    The SE ridge is the only feature of this storm that immobile, incompressible and inevitable. The track of the high maybe within 300 miles of the axis of heaviest snowfall
  2. Amped
    If this is a classic Nina screw job for us, then OKC STL and CHI is the likely jackpot. Maybe add Dallas this time since the cold air is so far south.
  3. Amped
    SE ridge is just too strong for a snow event next week. No matter how you configure the PV, there's not working around it.
  4. Amped
    That didn't end well.
  5. Amped
    Euro has mostly freezing rain for the day 4-5 storm. This has some nasty icing potential.
  6. Amped
    Yeah 500mb looks great but surface high maybe a bit too far south. Kind of a map you wanna make a "What will it do next?" pool for.
  7. Amped
    Models are showing a dryslot near I81 where the coldest air would be. Kind of a screwjob until you get to central PA on the GFS or upstate NY on the CMC.
  8. Amped
    CMC/GFS look suppressed with the day 7 storm, last night was an amped up firehose. Edit: check out the run to run consistency day 6.
  9. Amped
    Euro just misses with the weenie fantasy KU storm day 8 extrapolated from the ICON and Navegem. In pretty good agreement with the CMC though. Just need the PV to linger back a little longer and the southern stream a bit less amped.
  10. Amped
    Glad to see mostly hits or misses to the south. Also think there will be a double jackpot for this event. 1 in the western mountains from upslope flow and the other along the Delmarva from the coastal storm.
  11. Amped
    There going to be a historic snow and historic ice somewhere in the eastern half of the country. Just don't know where yet.
  12. Amped
    Great run, I sill want another tick or two south before the north trend starts. Gotta have some insurance.
  13. Amped
    GFS keeps parading lows out of the gulf and up the stationary front.
  14. Amped
    Triple phaser?
  15. Amped
    This storm gave us the finger.
  16. Amped
    I'd rather see this over Norfolk to give us a chance at surviving the north trend.
  17. Amped
    I think if the NAO holds through mid March , I don't think 3 6+ events with 2 of them being 10+ is that unreasonable to ask for.
  18. Amped
    At least he's mostly on the NE subforum this year.
  19. Amped
    While the GFS Para is broken, might as well take advantage of the opportunity and move the NAM to it.
  20. Amped
    I will be really upset if we end this epic blocking period without an Epic snowstorm in our region. It's been -NAO all of January and likely most of FEB too. If we just get nickel dimed and fringed, then this winter is huge disappointment.
  21. Amped
    We did see ta pretty similar setup on 1/26 and the day 5 models didn't work out too well. Use with caution
  22. Amped
    Yep sounds exactly like the April 2018 storm in CT. Measured 7" on my parents deck at 10AM was down to about 1" by sunset.
  23. Amped
    Shhhhhhhhhhhh
  24. Amped
    If they did they've probably already melted back below it.
  25. Amped
    Also watch day 5-7 on future Euro runs. There is a PV north of the great lakes, but the jet is configured so that there is a right entrance region over the eastern half of the US ,and a surface high. This will enhance any disturbance that tries to dig in the plains or MS valley.
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