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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    Looks like a 10:1 map
  2. Amped
    Looks like a 4-5 hr thump, then sleet, then ZR, then maybe some wraparound pixie dust with 33 degree temps?
  3. Amped
    For V16 they upgraded the GFS to the RGEM.
  4. Amped
    It's really just pixie dust. Only the Delmarva gets over 1" in 6hrs.
  5. Amped
    It worked, seems to be out on the ditch now
  6. Amped
    GGEM and RGEM are doing some strange shit with the 2nd wave. Highly doubt we get two rounds of snow with a 30hr break in the middle.
  7. Amped
    SLP is further south and weaker every run. Sleet snow line trended north likely due to mid level lift or lack there of only.
  8. Amped
    Jackpot is near 81 and along the md line on every model. Pretty good agreement actually.
  9. Amped
    CMC gets 700mb temps above 0c in most areas.
  10. Amped
    Yeah that storm was a huge temp rollercoaster. In CT we had a few inches of snow, heavy rain with temps in the mid 40s, then another inch of snow and a flash freeze. School buses were getting into accidents the next morning.
  11. Amped
    We stay snow longer on this GFS run but I never take the GFS snow sleet line seriously. Central MD changes back to snow at 84hrs. Typical GFS antics.
  12. Amped
    GFS looks about the same as 18z through 48hrs.
  13. Amped
    Somewhere in the middle probably correct. We just need the strong lift at the start.
  14. Amped
    RGEM has some really strong lift along I95 and south from 60-66hrs. It would be a at least 1"/hr rates if it's snow.
  15. Amped
    Clearly the DC split always verifies even when not modeled.
  16. Amped
    33 and rain with a .21 chance of and EF2+ based on LCL.
  17. Amped
    Never, this is a front end thump. I don't even see a SE jog happening over Maine.
  18. Amped
    Always love that inch or two we get before it changes to 55F and heavy rain. Gives the media something to overhype.
  19. Amped
    Got microflakes mixed with sleet. visibility went way down.
  20. Amped
    The ZR from earlier is now starting to freeze on the roads.
  21. Amped
    Our usual trends.
  22. Amped
    Most winters aren't nice to DC, but this one hates them the most.
  23. Amped
    Euro just has like an hour or two of freezing drizzle.
  24. Amped
    .02 maybe even worse. More likely to be overlooked by road crews only expecting some spotty freezing drizzle. Happened in Kansas city in 2019
  25. Amped
    Euro also trended east with the Day7-8 ice to rain storm. We get more sleet now.
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