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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    The NAM is really pissed that the rgem dethroned it for worst model last storm, it wants revenge.
  2. Amped
    99 had a couple of them too.
  3. Amped
    The SE ridge effect where the ULL consolidates.
  4. Amped
    Well somehow it formed a coastal. in the middle of a ridge with increasing heights. Not sure how it pulled that off.
  5. Amped
    It is good for the I81 crew. I 95 is getting mostly liquid out of that setup.
  6. Amped
    Not liking this trend, models consistently underdoing the SE ridge in Day 5-10 timeframe. Best we can hope for is a thump, then a lot of rain.
  7. Amped
    It does look a lot less amped than the GFS at 24hrs.
  8. Amped
    Pretty big ice storm for western areas day 7. GFS CMC and Icon all have similar solutions.
  9. Amped
    These systems don't phase, but if the NS gets ahead , it will crush the SS before it gets up the coast. So you should probably hope the SS doesn't slow down here, and the NS doesn't speed up. Either will lead to a weaker further south system.
  10. Amped
    Just cause we moved the RGEM to the naughty list doesn't mean we should put the Sref back on the nice list.
  11. Amped
    Try this https://github.com/msw17002/Historical-Precipitation-Analysis/tree/main/Northeast_Snowfall
  12. Amped
    ICON is a hit, Gfs Para is a hit.
  13. Amped
    GFS is amped up with the NS but not as far west as the NAM.
  14. Amped
    It was really more a comment into the mechanics of the storm. We need the NS more amped up if it's going to come up the coast. I really never trusted the NAM or RGEM on their own. Always worth waiting for the better models to come out.
  15. Amped
    RGEM doesn't like the idea. Not digging the NS the way the NAM did.
  16. Amped
    December 2009 was the last time DC BAL PHL NYC and BOS all got 10+ from the same storm. The NAM is close. 6z Para had the storm too
  17. Amped
    Bizzare run. Low tracks from Yucatan to FL, huge ice storm for GA/SC
  18. Amped
    Yeah they do look better. My eyes are still recovering from looking at 12z runs. Hopefully they were a hiccup.
  19. Amped
    It's always 10+ days away.
  20. Amped
    GFS Para has the same performance score as the old GFS. This happens with every supposed "improvement" to the GFS physics and resolution. It's still just as wrong as the old GFS but in a different way. Kind of reminds me of the Washington Football team. Whatever improvements they make they're still 6-10, they just win a different 6 games.
  21. Amped
    Thanks SE ridge
  22. Amped
    For the day 10 storm I'm a bit worried about suppression.
  23. Amped
    Euro trying to set up a big storm. in the MS valley at 144..
  24. Amped
    Yeah it was a big Ice storm in CT
  25. Amped
    Euro has a gradient flow with a lot of potential for overrunning events. Models don't always see them until a couple days in advance. Euro attempts one Tuesday and one Friday,. These are the kind of events that pop out of nowhere in good patterns.
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