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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    00z will be the most important run this year.
  2. Amped
  3. Amped
    Wow big jump north. This is the GFS run that the RGEM needed.
  4. Amped
    There is a lot of discrete stuff ahead of the line extending all the way to the gulf coast.
  5. Amped
    RGEM and ICON pretty bad too. NS is more amped forcing the cutoff to happen further south.
  6. Amped
    As long as nobody makes a thread it should happen.
  7. Amped
    The zonal flow is pretty brutal here. If something does manage to come north and produce a 6"+ event in DC It'd be very impressive.
  8. Amped
    And that EPS member will be suing the 00z GFS for copyright infringement.
  9. Amped
    Right now it looks like the ridge in the plains has all the momentum and isn't going to give the ULL enough time in the pocket.
  10. Amped
    It's leaving the energy further back every run. It will probably get shredded like the CMC/NAVGEM are showing if it gets left much further back.
  11. Amped
    00Z GFS shows it too now, 38mb in 12hrs this time. It would be close to a 12hr deepening record for an ET cyclone if somehow it verified.
  12. Amped
    Add this to the list of my favorite model glitches. CMC 180-192 shows a 39mb pressure drop on an ET cyclone over land. That's almost double the Cleveland superbomb.
  13. Amped
    Don't worry we'll get a pattern change early February. I say that the first day of winter every year.
  14. Amped
    18Z GFS has silly looking 985MB low over Buffalo day 4. Gives NE plenty of snow and us plenty of wind.
  15. Amped
    The PNA hates us.
  16. Amped
    850s are way too warm. Surface is too. There's no point in tracking storms until we get cold.
  17. Amped
    Anyone have a meteorological explanation of why winds from the record 133kt Vrot and the 30kft+ TDS wouldn't have mixed down to the ground?
  18. Amped
    Tornadoes need a NESIS or ACE like scale that would account for not just the amount of damage but the areal coverage of the damage. I don't mean any disrespect to the Ashby/Dalton, MN EF-4 it was an awesome tornado that I would have loved to catch if I was storm chasing. However, it really doesn't belong in the same class as something with a 170 mile path length that was a mile wide. https://www.weather.gov/fgf/2020_07_08_Tornadoes https://www.weather.gov/pah/December-10th-11th-2021-Tornado
  19. Amped
    NIST unofficially downgraded the Joplin Tornado. https://www.nist.gov/system/files/documents/2017/05/09/NCSTACmtgDec2013LombardoJoplin.pdf
  20. Amped
    Apparently every building in western Kentucky is built like crap.
  21. Amped
    Here's a research paper from 2013 on the Tristate Tornado. The longest continuous path of damage path might be similar. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/268801867_The_1925_Tri-State_Tornado_Damage_Path_and_Associated_Storm_System
  22. Amped
    Exactly. I still don't have any doubt this was an EF5.
  23. Amped
    Joplin had like 800 missing at one point. It's hard getting people accounted for after something like this.
  24. Amped
    Meh the two parts that didn't derail didn't collide with each other.
  25. Amped
    Have any EF-0 or EF1s been reported yet? Seems this outbreak was mostly high end tornadoes.
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