Amped
-
Posts
14,233 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Amped
-
Blocking, deampllification and the 50/50 low having a combined impact. I guess this kind of happened with the PDII storm, but it wasn't this pronounced.
-
The ULL just spits out a piece of energy due east. The GFS gets more creative every year.
-
18Z GFS with another ROFL run.
-
Seems like most models show the jackpot Central PA, Upstate NY and NNE. Typical Inland runner, miss for I95.
-
EURO is slower than 00z. Monster blocking over Ontario is even stronger.
-
Estimating the 144 and 168 low positions on google earth I'm getting a distance about 36 miles.
-
Was close, before the low stalled over ocean city for 18hrs. Central PA Demolished.
-
Euro is close for the NW Crew.. It's south of 12z.
-
GFS issue in a nutshell. Look at the pacific wave digging off the California coast. GFS is way east of the Euro and every other model. It uses that system to create some sort of a Fugiwara effect that traps the 500mb low in the northern plains.
-
18z GFS even less 500mb energy ejecting. I didn't know a Dakotas cutoff low in December was a thing
-
KU storm on the 23-24 that gets everyones flights canceled. That would be funny to watch.
-
Euro looks somewhat similar to the cmc. Not an outlier.
-
GFS having some dispersion issues.
-
00z gfs supports that idea. CMC is pretty similar. This is a nasty setup in a unique pattern. Wouldn't be surprised if it extended east into GA also. -
Hopefully not a repeat of last December.
-
That'll put a big dent in it t the very least.
-
Hopefully we'll get a big one. Seems like we settled for small to moderate overhyped storms a lot the past few years.
-
One of the ugliest looking Hurricanes you'll see make landfall. But I guess it's November so What'd you expect.
-
986mb on the dropsonde not much wind at the surface.
-
GFS is well west of 18Z also. Trend is towards a faster capture and northward acceleration. GFS still hits us with a lot of rain, but only cause a piece of the low hands back over the carolinas. This is suspect given the trend the last few runs.
-
00z ICOn brings it way west over western PA. Almost a Francis track, would be more of a tornado threat than a flood threat if it verified.
-
12Z GFS shows a ridiculous bounce in the track. 23.5N to 29N then back down to 26N. I expect that will be less pronounced.
-
Glad it's died down now. This was one of the most impressive outbreaks of 2022. Probably a lot in the EF2-EF4 range.
-
997mb with 57kts at the surface on the latest pass. Banding around the core looks organized. It's go time.
-
Center jumped north on the latest pass to where that northern convective blob just popped up.
