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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    Hard to get too excited about this.
  2. Amped
    ICON has a good track but the surface is in the mid to upper 30s so it's all rain. Just too many hoops for this to jump through.
  3. Amped
    Agreed that's key to us getting a Miller B
  4. Amped
    EPS still looks good around the 18th. You can see the classic 2 lobe Negative height anomaly off one blob off the east coast and another in the Ohio valley. The SE ridge is gone.
  5. Amped
    I don't have my hopes up for this upcoming event. Sure we have great blocking but the PAC and the SE ridge are not cooperating. They haven't all winter. I admit I can't completely rule it out but I don't it's coming back. It was only ever on the CMC and EPS control anyway. Both the GEFS and the EPS show a period of below normal heights with no SE ridge the 14th- the 20th., my money is on the day after ST Patty's day.
  6. Amped
    Take a break
  7. Amped
    Oh yeah the other Blizzard of 78 was good too.
  8. Amped
    The CMC is a lot better than 1960. It's the Delmarva version of the Blizzard of 78.
  9. Amped
    It puts the Heaviest snow axis along the Delmarva, But the negative tilt occurs far enough west that it would never actually escape east.
  10. Amped
    GFS trying for march 93 at 312hrs LOL
  11. Amped
    I'd forgive DJF for blowing chunks if that verified.
  12. Amped
    OMG CMC. Looks like the blizzard of 78 300 miles south.
  13. Amped
    Completely different handling of the pacific again day 7
  14. Amped
    We don't need a cutter to get screwed. We have lots of other tricks up our sleeve.
  15. Amped
    We do have a good pattern in place and a strong signal for an event. It's hard to get excited considering how many times we've been screwed in 2021 by events that started north of the MD line. Seems like we end up on the southern fringe of KU storms a lot, and of course not pattern will ensure it doesn't happen again.
  16. Amped
    I was actually going to waste time on it until I saw the Euro 240 and extrapolated it out another 36 hrs.
  17. Amped
    Gfs 384 ftw
  18. Amped
    ICON trended back south FWIW. Also an EPS member has a 961mb low over S IL and a GEFS member with a 965mb low in a similar spot also FWIW
  19. Amped
    Anyone remember the 12/10/97 event? It was a bust Boston. We ended up with about 6" of paste in SW CT when we were supposed to get rain. I'm kind of reminded of that event from the surface map even though 500mb doesn't really look similar.
  20. Amped
    We can't even get 2-4" modeled 4 days out.
  21. Amped
    Only if Maryland annexes Buffalo, Detroit and Cleveland.
  22. Amped
    Tornado chasing anyone?
  23. Amped
    Everything in the MS and OH valley has shifted north. Not the trend we want.
  24. Amped
    Even if the GFS is right with the track, it's probably at least 10mbs too deep with the pressure.
  25. Amped
    CMC 990mb primary gets overtaken by a 996mb coastal low, also a strange solution. Coastal lows almost never end up being weaker than the primary.
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