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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    This should be a rather helpful guide.
  2. Amped
    Gfs went back to its 00z solution almost exactly
  3. Amped
    Precip maps have over 4" liquid in south central CT.
  4. Amped
    GFS and ICON elongate the low, CMC overdeepens it. RGEM, NAM and JMA actually look the least weird so far LOL. Edit: I'm going with the RGEM Kuchara map since it's doing the least amount of funny stuff and matches well with the average model run over the last few days.
  5. Amped
    GFS is ais the worst convective feedback disaster so far.
  6. Amped
    Normally I hate happy hour GFS runs but I am interested to see if the GFS continues the trend of tracking the closed H5 low further south.
  7. Amped
    Already seeing way too many maps on social media with widespread double digit totals being posted. Given the warm surface and track uncertainty, this is asking for trouble.
  8. Amped
    The wierd thing about this setup is that the solutions that have the southern stream more suppressed end up warmer, with a second northern stream low forming over long island and tracking further northwest, like the ICON. You need a strong southern stream surface low in just the right spot to faceplant northern stream as it's trying to form.
  9. Amped
    This setup is so complex it has the Euro looking like the NAM.
  10. Amped
    EC hasn't changed much from 18z at 72hrs. Maybe a tick slower.
  11. Amped
    After all these years the NAM 84 is still acts like the NAM 84 and people still talk about it.
  12. Amped
    CMC has feedback errors in these types of situations. It did this in the blizzard of 2015. It's 20mb deeper than the GFS at hr 96
  13. Amped
    And with that the NAM has become the first model to dig the ULL into MD.
  14. Amped
  15. Amped
    And progressive track not off the table either.
  16. Amped
    That's some great meteorological gymnastics.
  17. Amped
    Euro day 10 looks good. The March 18th snowstorm call I made should at least start by the end of the day.
  18. Amped
    The problem with the strong northern stream is that it takes the storm from suppressed to Binghamton to Burlington jackpot with very few solutions in-between. Really where did you think it was going to snow? We need a new hobby.
  19. Amped
    A few hours of SN- with some snow squalls on the backside
  20. Amped
    Cmc and gfs both phase offshore
  21. Amped
    Destroys California with another 15" of precip
  22. Amped
    Still looks a lot more promising than the first one
  23. Amped
    In March 1999 we had a similar H5 track to what the Euro is showing, but the leading airmass was colder.
  24. Amped
    I like wave 2 on the GFS this run. It's where we want it at this range.
  25. Amped
    I don't know if it's been mentioned yet but today is the 10th anniversary of DCs greatest winter storm.
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