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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Yeah the cell on the MD/DE border looks like it's trying to produce something.
  2. HRRR has one cell ahead of the line over Wilmington & SNJ. Watch out if that forms it will have some really good parameters.
  3. Hopefully the crapvection disrupts that thing before it gets to Bloomington.
  4. Another cell wants to spin up in S TN between the other two. They're keeping the spacing well.
  5. Doesn't do it justice, a lot of those will be EF2+
  6. Taking almost the same track as the last one.
  7. Another cell in eastern ARK looks like it's got a couplet forming. Edit E of Marvell Ark needs a warning
  8. That one does not look like it's going away quickly. Possible long tracker.
  9. The new hrr doesn't show things going full linear until 5z.
  10. Right on schedule, 230pm local time is when most big outbreak days usually start cranking out TW.
  11. Wow wasn't expecting a double high risk area
  12. Can't wait to get fringed. It's not winter until models pull the rug out from under us inside 60 hrs
  13. If I told you that we would get near record setting Greenland blocks in December and March would anyone of the long range forecasters have predicted we'd get no snow from either?
  14. This was the least snowy winter that I have been through. Worse than 97-98, 02-03, 11-12, and 19-20 at the locations I was in at those times.
  15. If I extrapolate the rate it snowed here this winter, it will take us 65 years to get that much snow
  16. 12z CMC was the best run by far. Even if it showed no snow, it was perfect with the high position SLP track and 500mb track. I'll take my chances with that.
  17. If that setup can't get us an inch of snow this is officially the worst winter on record.
  18. The heavy band in SW CT will likely become a death band once it gets into a spot cold enough for snow. Edit: This matches the NAM and FV3 hires pretty well. RGEM and HRRR maybe moving it east to quickly. Looks determined to push NW at the moment.
  19. Hurricane season starts early and ends late on the 3k NAM
  20. Fairly obvious melting layer showing up on CC.
  21. Both the GFS and NAM now have the low doing a complete lap around the Mass coast.
  22. The extra hour of sunlight isn't helpful unless if the frigging sun doesn't come out in the first place
  23. GFS like 150 miles different than 18z with the low placement at 36hrs. Not your typical swing. Luckily most of it is along track and doesn't effect amounts as much as you'd think.
  24. I'm starting to have high confidence the lower elevations of CT will see very little if any accumulation. It's eastern mass that's uncertain with whatever meso-bomb goes off when the low stalls over the CAPE and pivots enough to get the flow out of the northeast.
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