Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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Yeah that always seemed a bit much. The trend was not his friend.
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Congrats Lake Ontario snowband.
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The gfs and the AI Euro did the best with this. Both took a lot of trash talk from forum members.
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Oh yeah, I'm deducting an entire letter from this winters final grade over it.
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Well that does it, time for the fat lady to stick a fork in the towel. Goodnight.
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UKMET does this hiccup before every storm. Of course we're getting screwed, but not by that far.
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UKMET looks the flattest yet.
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Cmc is a total miss north of the Potomac.
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It's digging a little further west so maybe a break even.
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Gfs already stronger with the confluence
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Either way its gonna put us out of our misery.
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Even DT negged the Nam this time and usually je saves all his smite for the GFS.
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It better cause we don't have the CRAS anymore.
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Another similar setup that failed to produce was 3/24/06. You can see we had a closed 500mb low in the perfect spot but the confluence was too strong. Don't remember any snow from that setup. Maybe a couple inches in nc/va? https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/2006/us0324.php
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Were like 1 or 2 se ticks away from a towel run.
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Nam has a surface low over LA at 60hrs 300 miles north of any other model. Nam just makes up its own rules, especially after 48hrs.
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Exactly, too many posts in this forum overcomplicate things. More downstream ridging= Further north track Less downstream ridging= Further south track. Ot works out at least 95% of the time unless you're looking at the Nam. Edit: whoops meant downstream not upstream.
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Yes but it's too early and prevents the southern stream from developing. You want lower heights over MO/AR and higher heights over WV/PA to force a slower more northerly track.
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Still not a great trend since 12z yesterday, the southern stream looking flatter and more progressive. We need the opposite.
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Euro is halfway between it's 12z and 18z runs.
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We can work with that. CMC and UKIE not so much.
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The GFS does look like December 2009 96hrs out if it makes everyone happy.
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GFS was the trash model yesterday, now it's smellin like a rose.
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Been a fun 48 hrs.
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Yes I'd still like to see the Euro return to a stronger more consolidated ull like 00z
