Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Amped replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That band is impressive. Congrats -
RGEM pretty much matches it's 18z run except for a snow hole near York PA. NAM could never dream of being that consistent.
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3k up to it's usual overemphasizing the mountains.
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NAM's gotta take the low out to sea and then tuck it back into eastern long island. Euro actually hooks it the other way into Cape May then east off the Jersey coast.
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How does the NAM reform the low 300 miles to the ESE between 21 and 24hr? This model never stops being entertaining.
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February track. Just moves a little too fast for 30" totals.
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Already more than last winter.
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This wasn't supposed to happen for like another 30 to 50 years.
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963mb and no calm. Doesn't seem like they even got in the eye.
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Amazing a lot of the pics we've seen are of the buildings are only listed as damaged when they have some very severe damage that may take years to fix.
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I know I am inferring wind direction based on damage here. But this is a video that shows lots of boats smashed into the shore. I geolocated the light house on google maps and it's RentaYateAcapulco. It is on a north facing beach on the hook of the western peninsula. The damage would imply winds were out of the north there. This could mean the storm tracked straight over the bay which is a few miles east of the official track.
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Not good, but not unexpected either. Judging by the damage, the final death toll will probably be in the hundreds.
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Just imagining how much broken glass they'll have to avoid stepping on for the next 20 years. I don't know building codes there. If they didn't require storm windows that could help explain the near 100% failure rate of high rise windows across the city.
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Despite being small you couldn't have asked for a worse track. It dragged along the coast and everywhere between the International Airport and Pie Del la Cuesta got hit by the eyewall, including the tourist district on the west side of the bay. At least that's my guess based on the damage.
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Surprised this is fading from the news so quickly. The damage keeps looking worse and worse as pictures come in.
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Depending on the anchor bolts of course.
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Tons of damage near Hotel Emporio in the main tourist district in the back center of the bay. Here's the Princess Hotel East of the city.
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Interesting how that satellite view looks displaced 10 or 15 miles ne of the nhc track and the zoom earth track.
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I'm just hoping for the eyewall to go anywhere but straight up the bay and over downtown. It will be be a slightly milder apocalypse if the eye avoids the most densely populated area.
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It did finally take a westward jog in the last 15 minutes.
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They are trying to stay calm, but you could imagine they must have deleted the phrase "Oh Shit" from that discussion in like 20 places during editing.
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The track of these small small storms is kind of tough also cause they wobble a lot more as they approach the terrain. Looks like it's moving almost due north now, but maybe it takes a quick east wobble later. Landfall showing between 6z and 9z so it only has a few more hours.
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Forecast has it going west of Acapulco, but way too close for comfort.
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Impressive wish we had radar in this area
