Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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991 we can do better. 975 over OC or bust
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Here's a bookmark to Ian's old thread on DC snowstorm analogs, in case anyone's interested.
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The Jma the most important model of all is also a hit. Similar to the Euro but in much lower resolution.
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Make some noise
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1004mb to 959mb in 18hrs on the cmc. 144 to 162.
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Cmc looks better than the gfs. It's ejecting the southern stream at hr 120.
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Gotta love how the ICON has the southern stream in OK at the same time as the Gfs and Cmc have it in AZ. Only 1000 miles difference.
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Looking at the 500mb trends on the op Euro and Gfs, there's no reason for a se shift. It's the same setup with higher heights out in front if anything.
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This setup isn't messing around. We haven't had all major models showing a storm like this in the medium range in a long time.
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Pretty sure it's going to match with a few KU storms on the cips analog page. Pattern looks almost textbook. Not to say we can't get screwed.
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If you averaged the January 1966 and the February 1978 storms, you'd get the latest Gfs run.
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I'm visiting my folks in CT if the GFS verifies. That looks insane.
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I'd say it has a better handle on the 500mb pattern than the Gfs or CMC. It's at least looked kinda similar the last few runs.
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I'm rooting for the Ukmet/con 500mb setup and betting on the surface low traking further west.
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Had a very positively tilted troff at 120hrs. Somehow made a comeback despite the NS being really far east.
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The JMA is very similar to the GFS at 192hr. Maybe a little further OTS but same H5 setup.
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I guess we can just assume the Euro showed such a large HECS it crashed the server?
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Gfs is like a remake of the Blizzard of 78 where we actually get snow.
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That's a hall of fame fantasy run if extrapolated
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DCA jackpot?
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I'll take my chances with that setup. Just gotta negative tilt the troff and it's a Hecs.
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Getting some stickage on grass here.
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Potential for multiple events in the long range. Always good to have a backup plan.
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Those were the good old days.
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CC radar shows sleet moving into the southern part of the city. Going to be a sharp gradient between the Bronx and Staten Island.
