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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    Latest recon pass is nuts. Hope that's an error.
  2. Amped
    Didn't think there was going to be an ERC today, dry air is inhibiting the ability of the core to expand at this time, and the core usually expands prior to an ERC.
  3. Amped
    The ADT numbers have leveled off the last few hour,s so the intensification may have plateaued for now. Hurricane models did show some brief dry air intrusions over the course of the day.
  4. Amped
    The islands are difficult to chase because you can't reposition without getting a boat or plane. The Yucatan is more chasable.
  5. Amped
    Insane, stronger than any of last nights hurricane models.
  6. Amped
    Its even ahead schedule for my bullish call from last night. Going to break the June record by mid afternoon at this pace.
  7. Amped
    HAFS-B has 128kt 953mb peak at 09z Monday. That wind maybe a little high given the pressure. HMON is 953mb 117kt at 06z Monday.
  8. Amped
    So far so good, you got this Beryl, it's all yours, just keep it the pace.
  9. Amped
    The June record for a basin hurricane is 946mb 125mph. Beryl has 25 hrs and 55 minutes left.
  10. Amped
    Gonna extrapolate that to 600kts.
  11. Amped
    Crappy night. Not even going to make the forecasted 75 low
  12. Amped
    A couple cells forming now in Frederick and northern Carroll counties.
  13. Amped
    Rain just lifted In downtown columbia. No tornado or damage visible from my window.
  14. Amped
    Headed for me or just south. Visibility to low to see anything.
  15. Amped
    Models showing quite a bit of rain across Central Florida in the 6-10 day time frame.
  16. Amped
    Setup trended less favorable as we got closer. More progressive troff weaker low and multiple waves. Wondering if we'll even see anymore rain.
  17. Amped
    I haven't been looking at weather maps for a while. I am impressed with modays setup.
  18. Amped
    Loud clap of thunder in Columbia.
  19. Amped
    My bar is 1 EF1 over the course of 3 days. It's that kind of year.
  20. Amped
    Might have some anger management issues.
  21. Amped
    Snowing hard now. Maybe 1/2"
  22. Amped
    It's puking fatties, which is also the name of my favorite band from Short Pump.
  23. Amped
    Hrrr has a mesoblob that forms over western VA and crushes us for a few hours. My favorite hrrr run so far.
  24. Amped
    Some regression to the mean kicking in. Givin the history of these kinds of events its never a good idea to completely buy into the south trend. The furthest south model run within 48hrs of the storm is much more likely to end up the laughing stock than it is to actually verify.
  25. Amped
    Lol we're gonna steal this thing from North of the Pike.
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