One more thing about the Friday system is it reminds me a lot of the setup a few days after the Blizzard of 96.
https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1996/us0112.php#picture
Edit: Throw in the Februrary 2001 setup also.
https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/2001/us0205.php
The high over the Carolinas causes issues with blocking the coastal formation. However, if anything similar to that H5 look verifies I'd bet on the surface low being stronger and closer to the coast, it's a pretty classic look.
I always get nervous in these anafront setups where we have to wait for cold air to come over the mountains. Models are usually too fast to cool things off. Hopefully we still get a decent event.