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Snowstorms

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Everything posted by Snowstorms

  1. Snowstorms
    The total accumulated precip map looks the same too. Legit not even a clipper or a fantasy 360 hr storm.
  2. Snowstorms
    That Pacific pattern (jet streak below) gotta change and until it doesn't, we're going to be stuck in this regime. On the bright side, the GEFS is trying to build a ridge around Alaska near the end of December which should hopefully allow for a -EPO to develop. Anything to get out of this storm-less pattern.
  3. Snowstorms
    Euro still remains storm free past Christmas.
  4. Snowstorms
    12 years ago today, I remember the infamous winter storm that dropped 8-12+" from SEMI to the GTA. If only we could get a repeat, lol.
  5. Snowstorms
    The entire 12z Euro is zzzzz.
  6. Snowstorms
    I reckon, split flows are more common in Nino's. Then again, shit Decembers have been a common thing in recent years. What matters is Jan-Mar.
  7. Snowstorms
    The storm early next week is looking like a nuisance for some of us and there's legit nothing else between now and Christmas either. I have a feeling this thread will become quite active in the coming days, lol.
  8. Snowstorms
    The Euro drops the PV right over Lake Superior . On a side note, pre decent ridging near Western Greenland, indicative of a west based -NAO. This helps push the ridge towards the Plains/Prairies. It's not the best look for a winter storm for our region though.
  9. Snowstorms
    Or like the 00z Icon!
  10. Snowstorms
    That intense Pacific jet stream is gonna play alot of "games" on the models. So I wouldn't be sold out on anything, yet. There's a good chance this storm could end up being a total dud. Likewise, it could also be noteworthy.
  11. Snowstorms
    The 0z Euro looked pretty interesting. A weak ridge across the PNW (neutral PNA), nice little block across the north with the PV nearby in Hudson Bay, and a weak ridge out ahead in the SE. It wouldn't be a large storm IMO, but a potent one for some if it were to occur.
  12. Snowstorms
    If the 16-17th storm were to occur, it would most likely be an overrunning event. The departing low this weekend would likely create a "block" around Newfoundland and without a decent ridge out ahead of the storm, there's little room for amplification.
  13. Snowstorms
    Not surprising since we've seen a lot of "snowless" Decembers over the past 20 years. I'm sure years like 2018, 2015, 2011 and 2006 come to mind. However, when you consider some of the more snowier Decembers, a majority of them were La Nina's (2000, 2004, 2005, 2007, 2008, 2016 and 2017).
  14. Snowstorms
    I agree, no consistency. Euro has a coaster. I feel like models tend to underplay CAD in these type of events, especially this far out. We got a pretty decent pool of cold air near Hudson Bay and a departing PV. Let's see.
  15. Snowstorms
    Look's like a whole lot of rain.
  16. Snowstorms
    +ENSO and +IOD forcing playing a role in that. As well, models are hinting at the MJO trekking its way into phases 2-3 near mid-December which translates to a warmer pattern for us. Going to have to see if the upcoming -NAO/AO can hold on a bit longer. In recent years, Atlantic blocking has been abysmal so it wouldn't surprise me if it breaks down quickly. Regardless, the cooler anomalies in the first week of December won't be anything insane. Without proper blocking, it'll most likely be transient cold.
  17. Snowstorms
    I agree. 0z ECMWF had an interesting set-up.
  18. Snowstorms
    The beginning of an epic LES outbreak, haha.
  19. Snowstorms

    Haha thanks!

    And yours is nice and creepy too :P

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