Euro with another rainer followed by a pattern change that favours the East Coast. Can't get much worse than that.
Practically mid Jan now. March is less than 2 months away.
The GFS is trying to build a split flow pattern ~Jan 20th. Terrible.
This current pattern were in is probably the most ideal pattern for most of us to get snow, but due to a strong SE ridge, we keep getting rain.
The 00z CMC is mostly rain in Chicago and Detroit. The ice line is bit further north than the GFS/NAM, but YYZ gets a significant ice storm.
Eastern Iowa is the winner.
Visibility was down to 0.5 miles around 3 am at YYZ with an intense squall moving through. Got less than an inch in my neck of the woods with an inch near YYZ.
History tells us its usually rare for a storm to come back south again after all models shift NW simultaneously lol. But as mentioned before, there's still a lot of room for error.
Haha. More than half that came from Nov and the Dec 2nd event. It's been pretty uneventful since. Anyways, good to have you back.
Enjoy your vacation! Aruba is on my list too.