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Snowstorms

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Everything posted by Snowstorms

  1. Snowstorms
    2.0" first call.
  2. Snowstorms
    At least it ain't a futility winter lol. What does ORD avg per season?
  3. Snowstorms
    What is ORD at for the season now?
  4. Snowstorms
    Fair point. But special weather statements aren't as "widely distributed" to the general public as watches or warnings are. In the past EC has been canned for not issuing warnings when warnings were warranted or issuing warnings to late. I agree, most models had 10-15cm for us but it is what it is. You win some you lose some.
  5. Snowstorms
    I can confirm it's snowing lol. The column will cool once the storm begins to deepen so it'll likely transition over to snow soon for you guys.
  6. Snowstorms
    Many people are sitting well below normal. Just one of those seasons. Hopefully next year is better. We've been super lucky here in Toronto but this season's been disappointing for multiple reasons.
  7. Snowstorms
    This clipper will ride the polar jet. Not much room for amplification but some localized areas might score some decent amounts. We'll get more clarity once the current storm moves out of the region.
  8. Snowstorms
    Snow seems to hate you this season.
  9. Snowstorms
    EC's warning system is a joke lol. Dry air basically shredded last night's storm. I was a bit concerned about it but didn't think it would limit snow totals to <2". Tonight's event looks a bit disorganized as per radar right now but it'll likely pick up later as the storm deepens. Dry air won't be an issue tonight. I think we can squeeze in 5cm tonight if we can tap into some of that moisture.
  10. Snowstorms
    Unimpressive first wave. About an inch imby. HRRR is looking decent for tonight's wave with ~2-3" down by 05z and still snowing. It will most likely be light to moderate snow as the heaviest returns remain south of us.
  11. Snowstorms
    Nice to see you guys finally cashing in on something.
  12. Snowstorms
    Latest NAM 3km and HRRR are interesting with that secondary low. Both have shifted further north and now HRRR has ~7" for the GTA by Friday afternoon.
  13. Snowstorms
    Tricky call. RGEM has been consistent for a few runs now with that secondary low. Let's see tonights 00Z HRRR and RGEM runs. I'm going with ~3" for tonights wave.
  14. Snowstorms
    Latest RGEM has ~2-4". There's some dry air out ahead of the system. Heaviest precip will remain south of us so hopefully that doesn't have an impact on our snow totals.
  15. Snowstorms
    Not overly optimistic about it yet. It develops along a cold front and moves NE. If the storm can develop faster and earlier, it can perhaps progress more northward. But that all depends where the initial wave ends up. Models are all over the place.
  16. Snowstorms
    Preliminary call for the GTA 2-4". Closer to 4" away from the Lake.
  17. Snowstorms
    Two weeks.
  18. Snowstorms
    I believe it is fully sampled as of 12z today.
  19. Snowstorms
    The models took the words right out of your mouth. GFS is primarily sleet for the GTA. The other models are mostly snow but we're riding the thin line.
  20. Snowstorms
    Fair point. I wasn't following along with ICON's performance of late. Tonight's models are all over the place. Still no consistency. Any early thoughts?
  21. Snowstorms
    Isn't that like a record +AO? Seems like in recent years the AO has been exceptionally positive in winter.
  22. Snowstorms
    I've seen the Sun maybe twice in the last 2-3 weeks. Garbage.
  23. Snowstorms
    I look at trends on the models more than specific amounts or temperature gradients. Since yesterday all models have shifted east of the Apps. The key now is if this continues or things shift back in our favor. However, I do agree with what you said.
  24. Snowstorms
    Got close to 2" today as well. Starting to melt now.
  25. Snowstorms
    Atleast we got ensemble support. Tomorrow's runs will be key if the eastward trends continue or we slowly slip back further west.
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