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Snowstorms

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  1. Snowstorms
    Around 6” at YYZ with reports of 5-8” across the GTA. Potential for some lake effect snow later today and tomorrow across the GTA. Localized amounts of 2-6” possible.
  2. Snowstorms
    Not surprised. The storm ended up further east and weaker and therefore, we only got skimmed by some of the heavier returns last night. Woke up to ~6" and barely any snow piles post shovelling. This isn't the first time the models had us in the sweet spot, only for it to "bust" in the end. Disappointed to say the least.
  3. Snowstorms
    That band approaching Oshawa is total rippage. Woulda been nice if it was 50 miles further west.
  4. Snowstorms
    Story of this winter. Just be glad we're going to finish this season above average despite a top 5 warm winter.
  5. Snowstorms
    Snow weenies in Toronto frolicking.
  6. Snowstorms
    Radars look unimpressive. Looks like a dry slot towards Oakville and Hamilton. Latest HRRR has a sharp cut-off across the GTA. Hoping we see some good returns as the storm begins to deepen and retrograde. Column has cooled so ratios should be close to 10:1. Some people are calling it a “bust” on Twitter lol.
  7. Snowstorms
    That’s true. Core of the storm is still south of us but we should start seeing more heavier bands after 9pm. Could tally up another 4-6” if they stay consistent.
  8. Snowstorms
    We can’t have nice things haha. RGEM nailed it. It was further east than the other models. Let’s see if we can squeeze a few inches tom with that LES band.
  9. Snowstorms
    Latest HRRR now has only 6” compared to the 13” it was showing earlier lol. The Low is bit further East this run. Haven’t checked surface OBS to confirm this change. Sometimes you can’t have nice things lol.
  10. Snowstorms
    Wow that’s impressive! Upper air dynamics and warm Lake temps are ideal for a decent lake effect outbreak. Wouldn’t discount widespread flurries through out the day tom. The real fun begins in a couple hours.
  11. Snowstorms
    What’s your take on toms lake effect snow? NAM shows a stout band impacting the city for a few hours near rush hour tom.
  12. Snowstorms
    Quite the downgrade from 18z. Seems like a nowcast event.
  13. Snowstorms
    Fair point. Let's see if NAM 3km and RGEM are in the same ballpark as HRRR.
  14. Snowstorms
    HRRR has been solid this year. Back to back winters with a footer? I say we do it. If we see 12", it'll be the snowiest winter since 08-09 at YYZ haha.
  15. Snowstorms
    I like how you didn't use YYZ. It was a 5" storm at YYZ lol. Seems like a WNY special. I don't think there's any radar reanalysis maps that go back that far.
  16. Snowstorms
    Yeah were in line to get 8-12" tomorrow too.
  17. Snowstorms
    Nice to see a WNY and ON special for once.
  18. Snowstorms
    EC issues a snowfall warning for Toronto. 6-10” by Thursday morning.
  19. Snowstorms
    Latest HRRR has ~8” in Toronto by 6z Thurs and still snowing. Heaviest amounts centred from Hamilton to Oshawa including Toronto. Feeling more confident with 6-10”.
  20. Snowstorms
    Sounds like a Dec ‘16 repeat band. RGEM is a bit more east with the heavier amounts. Closer to 8”.
  21. Snowstorms
    That Jan 10-12 storm was a quality rainer. 3” in mid Jan. Can’t get much better than that.
  22. Snowstorms
    6z models trended weaker and bit further SE compared to 00Z. 4-6" seems like a good call for now barring any major changes at 12z.
  23. Snowstorms
    By tomorrow this will be over NYC.
  24. Snowstorms
    00Z RGEM even further SE. Has the sweet band just south of Toronto now.
  25. Snowstorms
    We had a rare band off Georgian Bay rip through the city a few years ago. Dropped 3" in an hour. The city was at a standstill haha. Our geographic location has its benefits but a lot of drawbacks too lol. Either way, it's nice to have welcoming neighbours across the border.
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