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Snowstorms

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Everything posted by Snowstorms

  1. Snowstorms
    Finished with ~4.0" yesterday bringing my seasonal total up to 13.9" for the season. YYZ is just over 12.0” as well. Nothing crazy compared to Ohio. Probably their biggest storm since Mar 08 if I'm not mistaken.
  2. Snowstorms
    Some Nov stats at YYZ. Records at YYZ only go back to 1937. Snowfall: 9.2" - average is 3.0". Snowiest Nov since Nov 2002. Featured biggest single day snowstorm in 70 years Mean temp: 44.2F - average is 38.6F. 2nd warmest Nov on record behind 2001. What a crazy month.
  3. Snowstorms
    GFS hr 360... yeah.. gimme that right now.
  4. Snowstorms
    After today its zzzz for the next 10 days.
  5. Snowstorms
    Snowing rather nicely with that band up this way.
  6. Snowstorms
    This airmass sucks. Happened to us with today's storm. Storm tracked just west of the Apps, which in any normal year would be a 12"+ storm, but instead we got rain. Got 3" of back end snow this morning as the LP rotated. Maybe another 1-2” later tonight. Hope there is stronger dynamic cooling with this one for you.
  7. Snowstorms
    I agree it hasn't been exceptionally wet or anything. This airmass is putrid. Not conductive for any widespread snow or storms. Without any upper-level blocking, the flow is too progressive for any decent storms. Mostly overrunning events so far, except today.
  8. Snowstorms
    Facts. Although 2013, 2016 and 2017 were pretty legit. Dec 2017 was our coldest Dec since 2000.
  9. Snowstorms
    It's been active... Today is our third storm or weather event, whatever you want to call it, since Nov 22. Potential for a 4th this weekend but it'll likely end up east of the subforum. STJ is quite active right now, surprisingly for a La Nina, while the polar jet remains suppressed.
  10. Snowstorms
    3" so far in my area. Potential for another 2-4" by tomorrow morning. This airmass is putrid. Hoping there's a pattern change by mid December to allow for better storm opportunities and lake effect.
  11. Snowstorms
    Definitely. Last storm we were all riding a thin line. Ended up with a surprise 22cm since I'm away from the Lake. I'm at ~7.5cm so far. I agree, this is one of those all-day type of events but still not bad. EC upped their forecast to upwards of 15cm (6") for Toronto. Based on the latest surface obs, the LP is currently sitting over us right now. Things will start up to pick again later in the afternoon as the Low rotates so I wouldn’t be surprised if you end up with 15-20cm (6-8”) by tonight.
  12. Snowstorms
    Sorry I had to.
  13. Snowstorms
    Winter wonderland outside. Haven't measured yet but definitely over 2" and coming down heavily. Cue Dino's Let it snow.
  14. Snowstorms
    Well you guys get those big Nor'easter's that can drop >20" once in a while. Would love to experience that. Aside from lake effect snow, most of our synoptic snow every winter is <12" with each storm.
  15. Snowstorms
    Riding a thin line. Reminds me of last weeks storm. But as it stands, only the NAM is showing snow for Toronto. It's looking like a rainer for all of us. Would've been great if this storm was in January.
  16. Snowstorms
    Nope they all show rain. Great track. Best in years actually but terrible pattern. Hope we turn things around mid Dec.
  17. Snowstorms
    Interesting, thanks. Seems like their both still relatively misunderstood and it would be great if there could be additional research allocated towards learning more about them. As SnowGoose alluded to, the AMO could be one of the players but I doubt the PDO would exert any direct influence. I presumed that the accelerated sea ice loss was atleast enhancing the NAO/AO especially in the winter as the ocean heat is released back into the troposphere.
  18. Snowstorms
    Haven't seen a storm track this favorable that's straight out the Gulf in years and it's going to be a rainer.
  19. Snowstorms
    I think it has to do with the Arctic Sea Ice losses that have accelerated considerably since 2007. All that ocean heat being released back into the atmosphere in the Fall could have an impact on the polar vortex. Not sure if there's any research papers on that.
  20. Snowstorms
    Phase happens later and the flow is too progressive for anything respectable at least for us. Snow line is to far north. Track is ideal on all 12z runs, expect UKMET, but lack of cold air means primarily rain. I'd be disappointed if this was in January but its only November. Still got time, nothing concrete yet, so let’s wait and see.
  21. Snowstorms
    Looking like a rainer. No real Arctic air and late phase.
  22. Snowstorms
    I agree. Once you get out of the city area into the more rural communities, it gets considerably colder. Ohh that sounds rough haha. Canadian winters are known for their cold more than snow expect in the Great Lakes or Atlantic Canada where its both. Where you and I live, we don't experience those constant cold days thankfully. Though if you haven't visited Banff in the winter, you definitely should. It's on my bucket list.
  23. Snowstorms
    That's the same concept with cold. People in Western Canada laugh at us when our temperatures are in the teens or single digits and we say "it's really cold outside". Try telling that to someone who lives in -20F weather everyday in the winter.
  24. Snowstorms
    Always appreciate your thoughts and posts when you do get the chance to come here. And congrats on joining TWN. This storm has a lot of moving parts and variables to reach a concrete conclusion until Friday night at the earliest in my opinion.
  25. Snowstorms
    00Z GGEM is a good hit for Indiana and Western Ohio.
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