Snowstorms

It's kind of messy rn. I'm planning to clean it up over the next few days. I can definitely share it with you once I finish up. . Our February average has gone way up. Let's see if we continue that trend this year. Since 2011, we've averaged close to 37cm. Stealthy Toronto fashion. Has a nice ring to it.

Nah, I created a spreadsheet of every winter since records began at YYZ LOL. Re your last post. That November storm was pre sweet. Widespread 8-10". I'll be happy if we can have a 4th consecutive winter >100cm. That last time we had 4 consecutive 100cm winters was back in the 70s.

Final total of ~3.0" at YYZ. That should bump YYZ up to 30" for the season and only 14.5" from our new (1991-2020) seasonal average.

I agree. After going nearly 4 weeks without any measurable snow, 3" feels like a lot.

+SN with visibility down to 0.2 miles at YYZ. Haven't seen heavy snow like this since Jan 2019.

SN with visibility down to 0.4 miles at YYZ. Can't tell if that's a dry slot near Hamilton.

Radar returns look impressive especially around Kitchener. Most of our snow should fall within 2-3 hours. We could approach 3-6cm/hr rates. It’ll be nice. YYZ's new snowfall average for 1991-2020 will be ~113cm (44.4"). Our previous average was 108.5cm (42.7").

EC has issued a snowfall warning for Halton-Peel only. Up to 15cm (6") possible.

Okay makes sense. Thank you for the breakdown. Not super knowledgeable when it comes to lake effect, so thanks for the insight. Should be a good event nonetheless and should help YYZ inch closer to average.

Should be from someone who's done good this season. That's the real good luck. So, anyone from parts of Michigan, NE Ohio, Iowa or Southern Ontario.

I've noticed these type of deformation bands always set-up away from the Lake especially north of 401. Thermals look good for some decent dendrites too. What's your take on any potential lake enhancement?

I was never good at biology in school haha. Perhaps I'll message you come spring when I do my spring gardening. I work in Finance and Accounting. I graduated from school back in 2017 and now I’m working towards my CFA designation. Though it’s been delayed right now because of Covid. I've always been interested in weather since I was a kid. It’s always been a passionate hobby for me. I just couldn't see myself working as a meteorologist though. However, I spend time learning more and more about weather every day because I find it interesting. I also find learning about space interesting too.

HRDPS is bullish for the GTA tomorrow. If that FGEN band materializes as shown on the models, there could be an intense burst of +SN for 2 hours tomorrow morning. Wouldn't be surprised to see 4-6"+ tomorrow.

@StormfanaticInd + other Indy posters death band.

In under 3 minutes too eh? Nice

That's pretty crazy. How much do they normally average per winter?

I agree. It's interesting to say the least. Only thing I’m concerned about is the progressive flow. The northern stream doesn’t really dig further south and like our current storm, it’s all southern stream. Nonetheless, it could be a decent overrunning event with some STJ influence too. We’ll know more as the week progresses and when it’s sampled come Thursday night.

I agree. Most of the snow should fall within a few hours with the leading FGEN band. Looks favorable for some good dendrites too. Could be some lake enhancement from Mississauga to Oakville. After such a quiet and boring month, even 4” will feel like a winter wonderland. Nice to see you back again.

For the GTA, it doesn't look anything exceptional like you guys in IA and IL. Have fun! Looking at the 3KM NAM, most of the snow should fall in a relatively short time frame along a fast moving FGEN band. The storm begins weakening rapidly as it move towards our area, so that FGEN band is our only window of opportunity. Potential is there for some lake enhancement but more towards Oakville-Hamilton. I'd go with 1-2" for Toronto proper, for now.

That's a long drive if you do it regularly. I don't mind road trips, but they can be tiring sometimes. Bring your New England magic this way so Chicago-Detroit-Toronto can get a 12"+ storm.

His last thread was a win for my area . I have faith in him.

Some positive trends for our area. Northern vort is definitely further north and the west based -NAO should help to minimize any crazy northward trend with the main southern energy and help it to amplify. One of the main things that intrigues me is the availability of moisture should the southern energy have room to strengthen with some added STJ influence. Not completely sold out for our area yet as I would like to see some more positive trends. Should get a clearer picture by tomorrow 12Z runs.

Have yet to dip below 14F this season. We could tomorrow night which I believe would be the latest on record. Terrible. Even 2011-12 or 2001-02 dipped below 14F by this time.

Well-deserved for the Chicago crew considering the snow drought y'all are experiencing.

Yeah, I'll take the UKIE please.