Solak

Stole a 30 second baby sprinkle from the dry front!!! Winning!

Rainfall doesn't look to improve anytime soon. From the afternoon AFD from Raleigh... Other than a stray shower pre-dawn Wednesday across the western zones, precipitation chances will remain near zero through the period with high pressure jockeying into place overhead. The next chance of appreciable rainfall holds off until early to middle of next week thanks to the approach of a cold front from the northwest.

Chances down to 20% P/C; 84/70 right now.

It would be nice if there was some weather to type about. Hard to get excited about today's 30% chance and another washed out frontal system.

RAH AFD From Sunday Onward: There is high model spread regarding the evolution of the disturbance over the Bahamas and any potential impacts it may or may not bring to central NC. Similar to what we saw with Dorian , a weakness within the expansive Subtropical ridge in place across the SE US is forecast to develop Sunday and into Monday, which should eventually steer the system northwestward towards the Florida peninsula and SE US coast. This system has the potential to be very slow moving/meandering INVOF the SE US during the middle to late part of next week as it encounters the aforementioned blocky upper level ridge as it meanders across the eastern US. NC residents are advised to monitor the forecast for potential impacts over the next several days as the system becomes better organized.

Check out the change at Hatteras Inlet!

Today's (9/9/19) 12z GFS (h336) ) ---lala land, but still, too close for comfort.

Peaked out at a muggy 90/75=101 on Sunday.

Seeing lots of Tweets today similar to this one.

Avalon and Nags Head Piers on the OBX both suffered major damage today. This is Avalon earlier. The end has washed away since this was taken.

Picked up 4.35" from Dorian. Gusts peaked out in the upper 30's mph range. North wind has gotten rid of the mugginess.

Highest I've seen here (KJNX) so far 23 gusting to 37

753 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019 The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Western Hyde County in eastern North Carolina... Southeastern Martin County in eastern North Carolina... Northern Beaufort County in eastern North Carolina... * Until 830 PM EDT. * At 753 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Winsteadville, or 23 miles east of River Road, moving northwest at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Washington, Belhaven, Pinetown, Ransomville, Pamlico Beach, Bunyan, Winsteadville, Sidney Crossroads, Terra Ceia, Yeatesville, Long Acre VFD, Sydney Crossroads and Pantego.

The new Tornado watch

Not thrilled with the Watch likely being extended. Not a fan of nighttime severe weather. Especially since I didn't get a phone alert for our warning earlier today. AT&T hasn't replied to my tweet yet.

Over 2" here now. Rooftop gauge says 2.42", but it's about 10% heavy in intense rain. Raining too hard to spot check the CoCoRaHS tube.

Winds down a little, forward speed a little faster. 5:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 Location: 33.1°N 78.5°W Moving: NE at 10 mph Min pressure: 960 mb Max sustained: 105 mph

And one more.... 418 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019 The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a * Tornado Warning for... West central Jones County in eastern North Carolina... Southwestern Lenoir County in eastern North Carolina... Northwestern Onslow County in eastern North Carolina... Northern Duplin County in eastern North Carolina... * Until 445 PM EDT. * At 417 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Potters Hill, or 15 miles northwest of Half Moon, moving west at 40 mph.

Down by Yotoman 410 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019 The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Craven County in eastern North Carolina... Central Carteret County in eastern North Carolina... Southwestern Pamlico County in eastern North Carolina... * Until 500 PM EDT. * At 410 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over North River, or 8 miles northeast of Morehead City, moving northwest at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. * Locations impacted include... New Bern, Havelock, Morehead City, Newport, Harkers Island, North River, Smyrna, Straits, Harlowe, Otway, Janeiro, Great Neck, Riverdale, Croatan, Open Grounds Farm, North Harlowe, Bettie, Neuse Forest, Cherry Branch Ferry Terminal and Minnesott Beach Ferry.

Closer to home... Tornado Warning National Weather Service Raleigh NC 422 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019 The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Johnston County in central North Carolina... * Until 500 PM EDT * At 422 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Smithfield, moving west at 30 mph. * Locations impacted include... Smithfield, Benson, Selma, Four Oaks, Pine Level and Coats Crossroads.

411 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR SOUTHERN WILSON COUNTY... At 410 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Wilson, or 15 miles west of Farmville, moving west at 35 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Wilson, Kenly, Lucama, Stantonsburg, Black Creek, Saratoga and Buckhorn Reservoir.

Sounds like the same thing happened with the other warning as well. 1 SW Mar-Mac [Wayne Co, NC] EMERGENCY MNGR reports TORNADO at 1:52 PM EDT -- WAYNE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIAL REPORTS STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO A HOME AND BARN ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF MAR MAC, JUST NORTH OF HWY 13. THIS DAMAGE LOCATION IS WELL-CORRELATED WITH A CC DEPRESSION ON THE 0.2 DEGREE ELEVATION ANGLE OF THE KRAX WRS-88D.

Good call~~~ Time: 2019-09-05T18:30:00Z UTC Event: TORNADO Source: TRAINED SPOTTER Remark: POSSIBLE TORNADO SPOTTED NEAR LEWIS AND GRAY RD IN VANCEBORO.