outflow

Lake levels are going to be ridiculous this summer/fall and even more if we get a wet spring

Trees are overrated anyways......

Grr with winds 55 to 60mph and a wwa for that with wrap around snow. Discounting the hrr which showed gusts to 80mph tomorrow morning. 18z gfs has the low down to 975mb

Latest warning update for my county is 11-16 inches with amounts over 20 possible. Highest amount written out in a product I can remember in a long time

The storm a week and a half ago tore up the shoreline up here around the tip of the thumb. Lots of collapsed seawalls and some exposed points of land lost 60 feet of length.

Somewhere, probably around port Huron, will get a foot when combined with the lake effect/enhancement. They always do good early during these early ne wind events. 11-26-2002 jumps out I think they got close to 18 inches during that event

I wouldn't mind a roller coaster of temps if it brings some nice deep fall lows and severe weather with them. It's been a very boring past couple months locally

Grand rapids got hit pretty good 69mph gust at he airport. With the likely clearing later this morning and continued oppressive heat/humidity it isn't a good time for a metro area to have lots of possible power outages. Consumers energy has 120,000 without power in west mi currently while Detroit Edison had 50000 from earlier storms around metro detriot

Might be one hell of a seiche on northern lake Mich if the line holds in strength as it crosses

The strong se component to the storms would seem to favor a track maybe in the Milwaukee grand rapids corridor. I know the models that have been showing the bow racing east across the southern up and northern lower are going to be completely off

Same reason November has more than Aug Sept and Oct, April and November have had large outbreaks in the past which puts them ahead of neighboring months. You end up with fewer severe weather days in those months but when they do happen they tend to be big.

the good thing is the chances of schools getting hit with students still inside is somewhat tempered by most schools having hours of 7am-3pm or so, there really is only a short overlap between when students get out and when tornado ocrruences start to increase as afternoon heating can occur. of course , there is the threat of tornadoes hitting large amounts of buses as schools lets out, as i think happened in oak lawn Ill in the 60s. I still think the biggest loss of life threat comes with a sporting event being hit by a large tornado. Just as an example, say you have 80,0000 people at a nascar event in kansas or texas, thats people spread out in the open over a 2-3 mile area, plus 1000s of people camping in the infield, plus that many crewmen, reporters, etc. Where do you put all these people in 20 mintues if a tornado is coming at that? this is where you could see deaths approaching 1000

the still reminds me of the video from the louisville tornado during the super outbreak