
outflow
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Everything posted by outflow
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
outflow replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Brŕrrr -
The thread doesn't count if the starter is located in ohio so we are good
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74mph with the thundersnow squall line at south haven and lots of other 50-60mph gusts with thundersnow in west and sw mi
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There was a cc drop with that quick spin up and an earlier one in gratiot county.
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
outflow replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
350,000 without power across the state, pretty big number for a 2/15/15 slight risk day -
Temps and points in the 70s at 9am isn't fall.....
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
outflow replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I didn't leave bad axe til about 10 minutes before the waterspout I didn't think it would come close enough to land with the haze to get a decent look at anything and then at the last minute drove up there. I'm about 2 miles se of your location in my Pic looking nw -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
outflow replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Missed the waterspout from this storm by about 5 minutes, couldn't get to a open spot along lake huron in time. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
outflow replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Ironically enough, the last significant tornado in Michigan's thumb was an ef2 on June 26th 2021. It just grazed the lakeside town of Port Austin which was busier then normal with an annual outdoor music festival occurring and lots of people outdoors. Today is this year's annual festival and it just so happens to be another possible thumb type of tornado day with a warm front nearby. I'll be watching and waiting. -
Where's spartman? he might want to delete the sub title of this thread about now
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Reading the abovd The Elie tornado comes to mind as a small in size but with upper end strength.
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You know something will happen locally while your gone... gl
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Hit a mobile home park with reported injuries.
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Warning text says spotter confirmed tornado
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Me too, big limb fell ripped the service line off the house just a bit ago
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Power outages are going up fast across se mi with 33,000 for dte energy now. Trees are really stressed already up here in the thumb and starting to loose some bigger limbs. Probably about 3 inches so far
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Haven't been looking at this as closely as normal, what's the upper end wind potential along the lakes looking? From my brief look. I'm guessing 50-55mph?
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Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
outflow replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I could deal with a third, fourth, and fifth November or any month for that matter if it came with something interesting instead of the endless zzzzz much of the great lakes area seem to be stuck in. -
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Fun little cell yesterday afternoon came across Saginaw bay and tried very hard to produce as it came onshore with about a 10 minute window when it had wall cloud with rapid motion before becoming wrapped in rain and outflow dominant. Produced some 60-70 mph gusts as it came overhead with lots of tree damage. Nice little local marginal day. Looking from the se to nw before I moved and the storm tightened up
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
outflow replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It's like mother nature seen this and said hold my beer..... Side note it still amazes me how summertime convection can make humans and computers look completely clueless when it comes to forecasting even 12 hrs in advance, but in the same sense it wouldn't be as fun if we knew exactly what would happen would it -
I think the severe chances, besides some low end risk over the next 1-3 hrs, are highly in question just about anywhere in the enhanced risk area with this first mcs coming through before the better support and dynamics come into play later this afternoon. There will have to be a quick recovery in order for another round to fire and have a chance at some higher end potential. At least there is another widespread rainfall to continue to erase drought concerns.
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
outflow replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
outflow replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Lots of tree damage in that area along with wind driven hail damage. Couldn't keep in front of it when it finally got tight around the village of Applegate, got a late start and played catchup having to drive in through all the heavy rain. -
Pretty much a given if there is a giant event happening, nascar race, that requires good weather it will rain the entire time.